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Cleethorpes Town v Rylands

Cleethorpes Town

3–0Full time

Rylands

Non League Premier - Northern · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Cleethorpes Town 3–0 Rylands CLEETHORPES TOWN WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Cleethorpes Town win~~47%

~~The market said~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.420

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.439

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Cleethorpes Town win at 47%.
3′KICK-OFF Cleethorpes Town v Rylands
6′Much as we predicted: Cleethorpes Town was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–27–27
45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Cleethorpes Town 1–0 Rylands
45′HALF-TIME Cleethorpes Town 1–0 Rylands
46′SECOND HALF Cleethorpes Town 1–0 Rylands
80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Cleethorpes Town 2–0 Rylands
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Cleethorpes Town 3–0 Rylands
FTFULL TIME Cleethorpes Town 3–0 Rylands
FTCleethorpes Town 3–0 Rylands · Cleethorpes Town win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Cleethorpes Town win47%

Draw25%

Rylands win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cleethorpes town winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

47% The market46%

Us47%

~~Market~~46%

We make Cleethorpes Town a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.1.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cleethorpes Town win	47%	46%	+1
Draw	25%	26%	−2
Rylands win	28%	28%	0
Over 2.5 goals	49%	51%	−2
Both teams to score	52%	55%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	73%	73%	0
Over 3.5 goals	27%	31%	−4
Cleethorpes Town or draw	72%	72%	0
Cleethorpes Town clean sheet	33%	–	–
Rylands clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 7.1 8.3 4.4 1 11.2 11.7 6.6 2.5 2 8.3 9.1 5.0 3 4.3 4.6 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cleethorpes Town down, Rylands across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,373 Non League Premier - Northern matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Non League Premier - Northern matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.9% of games this season, across 122 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cleethorpes Town at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Rylands away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Cleethorpes Town, 1.11 for Rylands. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~RYL 0–1 CLE · CLE 1–2 RYL

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Northern

CLEETHORPES TOWN

LWWDDW1–3 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

RYLANDS

WWDWWD2–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cleethorpes Town	12	+20	27
2	Avro	10	+14	25
3	Redcar Athletic	12	+12	25
4	Guiseley AFC	11	+13	22
5	Workington	12	+4	21
6	Rylands	12	+3	20
7	Curzon Ashton	10	+10	19
8	Alfreton Town	12	+5	18
9	Warrington Town	10	+4	18
10	Bury	10	+10	16
11	Gainsborough Trinity	10	+6	16
12	Lancaster City	12	−8	16
13	Hyde United	12	−8	14
14	Ashton United	10	+1	12
15	Whitby Town	11	−15	12
16	Stockton Town	12	−7	11
17	Leek Town	11	−1	10
18	Quorn	11	−9	10
19	AFC Emley	11	−12	10
20	Bamber Bridge	11	−15	9
21	Ilkeston Town	12	−19	7
22	United of Manchester	10	−8	5