Alfreton Town v Warrington Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Alfreton Town win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Alfreton Town was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–24–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Alfreton Town v Warrington Town
4. 7′Much as we predicted: Alfreton Town was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–27
5. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Alfreton Town win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Alfreton Town 0–0 Warrington Town
7. 46′SECOND HALF Alfreton Town 0–0 Warrington Town
8. 47′We said Alfreton Town at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–39–23
9. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Alfreton Town win 36%)
10. 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–44–22
11. 56′We said Alfreton Town at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–21
12. 59′Alfreton Town find the net on 59′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–17–4
13. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Alfreton Town 1–0 Warrington Town
14. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Alfreton Town win: 50% at kick-off, 79% now
15. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Alfreton Town win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
16. 60′We published Alfreton Town at 50%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
17. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Alfreton Town win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
18. 62′Alfreton Town ahead on 58′ through D. Youmbi. 1–0. 1–0 · 80–16–3
19. 72′We published Alfreton Town at 50%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
20. 80′We published Alfreton Town at 50%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
21. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Alfreton Town win: 50% at kick-off, 90% now
22. 81′A goal for Warrington Town on 81′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 14–77–9
23. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Alfreton Town 1–1 Warrington Town
24. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Alfreton Town win: 50% at kick-off, 14% now
25. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Alfreton Town win 14%)
26. 82′We said Alfreton Town at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–79–8
27. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Alfreton Town win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
28. 85′We said Alfreton Town at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
29. FTFULL TIME Alfreton Town 1–1 Warrington Town
30. FTAlfreton Town 1–1 Warrington Town · Alfreton Town win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.