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Wingate & Finchley v Stanway Rovers
Wingate & Finchley
Stanway RoversNon League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Wingate & Finchley win at 57%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Wingate & Finchley 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–20–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Wingate & Finchley v Stanway Rovers
- 5′Little has changed for our model: Wingate & Finchley 57% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–21–23
- 34′Wingate & Finchley score on 34′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–16–7
- 34′We said Wingate & Finchley at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–16–7
- 34′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–7
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Wingate & Finchley 1–0 Stanway Rovers
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Wingate & Finchley win: 57% at kick-off, 78% now
- 37′Wingate & Finchley find the net on 37′. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 37′We said Wingate & Finchley at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Wingate & Finchley 2–0 Stanway Rovers
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Wingate & Finchley win: 57% at kick-off, 94% now
- 38′A goal for Stanway Rovers on 37′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 78–16–6
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Stanway Rovers
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Wingate & Finchley win: 57% at kick-off, 78% now
- 39′R. Charles scores for Stanway Rovers on 38′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 78–16–6
- 45′HALF-TIME Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Stanway Rovers
- 46′SECOND HALF Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Stanway Rovers
- 54′We said Wingate & Finchley at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 70′Wingate & Finchley score on 69′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 70′We said Wingate & Finchley at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 70′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Wingate & Finchley 3–1 Stanway Rovers
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Wingate & Finchley win: 57% at kick-off, 98% now
- 74′Wingate & Finchley find the net on 73′. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Wingate & Finchley 4–1 Stanway Rovers
- 75′We said Wingate & Finchley at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 75′Wingate & Finchley ahead on 72′ through C. Shann. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 76′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Wingate & Finchley 4–1 Stanway Rovers
- FTWingate & Finchley 4–1 Stanway Rovers · Wingate & Finchley win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassWingate & Finchley are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Wingate & Finchley 57%, draw 20%, Stanway Rovers 23%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Wingate & Finchley win57%
Stanway Rovers win23%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Wingate & FinchleyMIN
Stanway RoversEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Wingate & Finchley
Stanway Rovers
Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Last match: 10 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Wingate & Finchley a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 56%, 57% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley win | 57% | 55% | +2 |
| Draw | 20% | 22% | −2 |
| Stanway Rovers win | 23% | 23% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 60% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 60% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 80% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 39% | +3 |
| Wingate & Finchley or draw | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Wingate & Finchley clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Stanway Rovers clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2025/26No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 29 Aug
WINGATE & FINCHLEY
STANWAY ROVERS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 11 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Lewes | 12 | +6 | 25 |
| 3 | Welling United | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Dartford | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 | Carshalton Athletic | 13 | −3 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 12 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 | St Albans City | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 11 | Dulwich Hamlet | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 | Leatherhead | 11 | −2 | 15 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 14 | Wingate & Finchley | 10 | −4 | 14 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 16 | Whyteleafe | 12 | −3 | 12 |
| 17 | Aveley | 11 | −1 | 11 |
| 18 | Brentwood Town | 10 | −4 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | −18 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 11 | −11 | 8 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 12 | −20 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 10 | −18 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Enfield Town
Lewes
Welling United
Dartford
Carshalton Athletic
Ramsgate
Eastbourne Borough
Chatham Town
Burgess Hill Town
St Albans City
Dulwich Hamlet
Leatherhead
Cheshunt
Cray Wanderers
Whyteleafe
Aveley
Brentwood Town
Maldon & Tiptree
Three Bridges
Whitehawk