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Whyteleafe v Whitehawk
WhyteleafeWhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Whyteleafe win at 45%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Whyteleafe 45% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–24–31
- 1′KICK-OFF Whyteleafe v Whitehawk
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Whyteleafe 1–0 Whitehawk
- 6′A goal for Whyteleafe on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 69–18–13
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Whyteleafe win: 45% at kick-off, 69% now
- 7′We said Whyteleafe at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–18–13
- 18′We said Whyteleafe at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–12
- 25′25′ and it is 2–0: Whyteleafe have scored. 2–0 · 89–8–3
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Whyteleafe 2–0 Whitehawk
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Whyteleafe win: 45% at kick-off, 89% now
- 27′We said Whyteleafe at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 2–0 · 89–8–3
- 28′We said Whyteleafe at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–0 · 90–8–3
- 45′HALF-TIME Whyteleafe 2–0 Whitehawk
- 46′SECOND HALF Whyteleafe 2–0 Whitehawk
- 49′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 2–0 · 93–6–1
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Whyteleafe 3–0 Whitehawk
- 50′Whyteleafe find the net on 49′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Whyteleafe win: 45% at kick-off, 99% now
- 51′We said Whyteleafe at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 52′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 65′We said Whyteleafe at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 74′A goal for Whyteleafe on 73′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Whyteleafe 4–0 Whitehawk
- 75′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′90′ and it is 5–0: Whyteleafe have scored. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Whyteleafe 5–0 Whitehawk
- FTFULL TIME Whyteleafe 5–0 Whitehawk
- FTWhyteleafe 5–0 Whitehawk · Whyteleafe win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassWhyteleafe are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Whyteleafe 45%, draw 23%, Whitehawk 32%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 19:18 · locked at kick-off
Whyteleafe win45%Whitehawk win32%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 19:45
Match timeline
All events
WhyteleafeMINWhitehawkEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Whyteleafe
Whitehawk
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Whyteleafe | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 11 | -15 | 5 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Whyteleafe a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 45% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whyteleafe win | 45% | 47% | −2 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Whitehawk win | 32% | 29% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 60% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 61% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 80% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 39% | −4 |
| Whyteleafe or draw | 68% | 71% | −3 |
| Whyteleafe clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Whitehawk clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in Non League Premier - Isthmian since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian
WHYTELEAFE
WHITEHAWK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 11 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Lewes | 12 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 |  Welling United | 11 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dartford | 11 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Carshalton Athletic | 13 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Ramsgate | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 |  Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chatham Town | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 |  Burgess Hill Town | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 |  St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Leatherhead | 11 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 |  Cheshunt | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Wingate & Finchley | 10 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Aveley | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Brentwood Town | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Whyteleafe | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | -18 | 9 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 11 | -11 | 8 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 11 | -15 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stanway Rovers | 10 | -18 | 4 |
The competition's standings.