Home › Football › Non League Premier - Isthmian › Whyteleafe v Dartford
Back

Whyteleafe v Dartford
Whyteleafe
DartfordNon League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dartford win at 50%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Dartford was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 28–22–50
- 1′KICK-OFF Whyteleafe v Dartford
- 6′Much as we predicted: Dartford was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 28–23–49
- 22′A goal for Whyteleafe on 21′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 54–24–22
- 22′We said Dartford at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 54–24–22
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 21' Whyteleafe 1–0 Dartford
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Dartford win: 50% at kick-off, 22% now
- 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Whyteleafe win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Dartford win 22%)
- 24′T. Aromolaran scores for Whyteleafe on 20′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 54–24–22
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Dartford win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 56–25–20
- 31′We said Dartford at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 56–25–19
- 45′HALF-TIME Whyteleafe 1–0 Dartford
- 46′We said Dartford at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 60–25–14
- 46′SECOND HALF Whyteleafe 1–0 Dartford
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Dartford win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
- 59′We said Dartford at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 66–24–9
- 62′Dartford score on 62′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 21–47–32
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Whyteleafe 1–1 Dartford
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Dartford win: 50% at kick-off, 32% now
- 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Whyteleafe win 21%)
- 63′We said Dartford at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 21–48–31
- 66′We said Dartford at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 19–51–29
- 66′Whyteleafe find the net on 66′. 2–1. 2–1 · 71–23–6
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Whyteleafe 2–1 Dartford
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Dartford win: 50% at kick-off, 6% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Whyteleafe win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 23%)
- 68′Whyteleafe ahead on 65′ through T. Aromolaran. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–22–6
- 72′We said Dartford at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–20–4
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Dartford win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
- FTFULL TIME Whyteleafe 2–1 Dartford
- FTWhyteleafe 2–1 Dartford · Dartford win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassDartford are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Whyteleafe 28%, draw 22%, Dartford 50%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Whyteleafe win28%
Dartford win50%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 13
Match timeline
All events
WhyteleafeMIN
DartfordEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Whyteleafe
Dartford
Last match: 14 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Last match: 10 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Dartford a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 54%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whyteleafe win | 28% | 23% | +5 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Dartford win | 50% | 54% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 57% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 79% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 36% | +2 |
| Whyteleafe or draw | 50% | 46% | +4 |
| Whyteleafe clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
| Dartford clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 31 Aug
WHYTELEAFE
DARTFORD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 11 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Lewes | 12 | +6 | 25 |
| 3 | Welling United | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Dartford | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 | Carshalton Athletic | 13 | −3 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 12 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 | St Albans City | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 11 | Dulwich Hamlet | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 | Leatherhead | 11 | −2 | 15 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 14 | Wingate & Finchley | 10 | −4 | 14 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 16 | Whyteleafe | 12 | −3 | 12 |
| 17 | Aveley | 11 | −1 | 11 |
| 18 | Brentwood Town | 10 | −4 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | −18 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 11 | −11 | 8 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 12 | −20 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 10 | −18 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Enfield Town
Lewes
Welling United
Carshalton Athletic
Ramsgate
Eastbourne Borough
Chatham Town
Burgess Hill Town
St Albans City
Dulwich Hamlet
Leatherhead
Cheshunt
Wingate & Finchley
Cray Wanderers
Aveley
Brentwood Town
Maldon & Tiptree
Three Bridges
Whitehawk
Stanway Rovers