Whyteleafe v Burgess Hill Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Whyteleafe win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Whyteleafe was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–21–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Whyteleafe v Burgess Hill Town
4. 23′A goal for Whyteleafe on 23′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–20–16
5. 23′We published Whyteleafe at 40%. Our model now makes it 64%. 1–0 · 64–20–16
6. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Whyteleafe 1–0 Burgess Hill Town
7. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Whyteleafe win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
8. 24′T. Aromolaran scores for Whyteleafe on 22′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–20–16
9. 28′Whyteleafe score on 28′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 85–10–5
10. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Whyteleafe 2–0 Burgess Hill Town
11. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Whyteleafe win: 40% at kick-off, 85% now
12. 29′We published Whyteleafe at 40%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–0 · 85–10–5
13. 30′Burgess Hill Town find the net on 30′. 2–1. 2–1 · 64–21–15
14. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Whyteleafe 2–1 Burgess Hill Town
15. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Whyteleafe win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
16. 31′We published Whyteleafe at 40%. Our model now makes it 65%. 2–1 · 65–21–15
17. 43′A goal for Burgess Hill Town on 43′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 34–32–33
18. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Whyteleafe 2–2 Burgess Hill Town
19. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Whyteleafe win: 40% at kick-off, 34% now
20. 44′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 34–33–33
21. 45′HALF-TIME Whyteleafe 2–2 Burgess Hill Town
22. 46′SECOND HALF Whyteleafe 2–2 Burgess Hill Town
23. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Whyteleafe win 34%)
24. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Whyteleafe win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
25. 62′We said Whyteleafe at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 2–2 · 28–44–27
26. 69′We said Whyteleafe at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–52–24
27. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Whyteleafe win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
28. 76′We said Whyteleafe at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–62–19
29. 81′We said Whyteleafe at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–73–14
30. 83′Burgess Hill Town score on 83′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 1–11–89
31. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Whyteleafe 2–3 Burgess Hill Town
32. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Whyteleafe win: 40% at kick-off, 1% now
33. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Burgess Hill Town win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 77%)
34. 84′We said Whyteleafe at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
35. 85′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 1–9–91
36. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Whyteleafe win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
37. FTFULL TIME Whyteleafe 2–3 Burgess Hill Town
38. FTWhyteleafe 2–3 Burgess Hill Town · Whyteleafe win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.