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Three Bridges v Enfield Town

Three Bridges
3–3Full time
Enfield Town

Non League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Three Bridges 3–3 Enfield Town ENFIELD TOWN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Enfield Town win63%
The market said60%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.131
The market’s Brier score1.045

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay25 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Enfield Town win at 63%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Enfield Town was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 21–17–62
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Three Bridges v Enfield Town
  4. 4′Three Bridges score on 4′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 38–20–42
  5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Three Bridges 1–0 Enfield Town
  6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 42% now
  7. 5′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–0 · 38–20–41
  8. 6′Three Bridges score on 4′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 39–20–41
  9. 7′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–0 · 39–20–41
  10. 11′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–0 · 40–21–39
  11. 16′Three Bridges find the net on 16′. 2–0. 2–0 · 62–17–20
  12. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Three Bridges 2–0 Enfield Town
  13. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 20% now
  14. 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Three Bridges win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Enfield Town win 20%)
  15. 17′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 2–0 · 63–17–20
  16. 19′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–0 · 63–17–19
  17. 19′Three Bridges ahead on 15′ through A. Ayodeji. 2–0. 2–0 · 63–17–19
  18. 31′A goal for Enfield Town on 31′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 44–24–32
  19. 31′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 2–1 · 44–24–32
  20. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Three Bridges 2–1 Enfield Town
  21. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 32% now
  22. 33′33′: B. Leonard on the scoresheet for Enfield Town, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 22–23–55
  23. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Three Bridges 2–2 Enfield Town
  24. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 55% now
  25. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Enfield Town win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Three Bridges win 22%)
  26. 34′Much as we predicted: Enfield Town was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 2–2 · 22–24–55
  27. 44′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 51%. 2–2 · 21–27–51
  28. 45′Enfield Town find the net on 45′. 2–3. 2–3 · 7–15–79
  29. 45′We published Enfield Town at 63%. Our model now makes it 79%. 2–3 · 7–15–79
  30. 45′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.3 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 7–15–79
  31. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Three Bridges 2–3 Enfield Town
  32. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 79% now
  33. 45′HALF-TIME Three Bridges 2–3 Enfield Town
  34. 46′SECOND HALF Three Bridges 2–3 Enfield Town
  35. 47′Enfield Town ahead on 44′ through T. Al-Sadi. 2–3. 2–3 · 6–15–79
  36. 57′We published Enfield Town at 63%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–3 · 5–15–80
  37. 60′A goal for Three Bridges on 60′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 20–37–43
  38. 60′6 goals already, more than the 4.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 20–37–43
  39. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Three Bridges 3–3 Enfield Town
  40. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
  41. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Enfield Town win 38%)
  42. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
  43. 76′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 3–3 · 15–57–29
  44. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 23% now
  45. 85′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 3–3 · 8–78–14
  46. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Enfield Town win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
  47. 90′We said Enfield Town at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 3–3 · 5–87–8
  48. FTFULL TIME Three Bridges 3–3 Enfield Town
  49. FTThree Bridges 3–3 Enfield Town · Enfield Town win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Enfield Town are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Three Bridges 21%, draw 17%, Enfield Town 63%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Three Bridges v Enfield TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Three Bridges win21%
Draw17%
Enfield Town win63%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Three Bridges

Enfield Town

4Days since last match5

Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last match: 12 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Enfield Town11+1727
20Three Bridges11−118

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · enfield town winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:38 · locked at kick-off
63% The market60%
Us63%
Market60%

We make Enfield Town a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–2.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Three Bridges v Enfield Town1.55 – 2.75
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 31 AugW2 D1 L3 · W5 D0 L1
Table places · points 8 v 2720 v 1
The market · Enfield Town win60% · ours 63%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 11 OCT 04:0217 OCT 14:07
Our probability · Enfield Town win The market, margin stripped

Published at 62%, 63% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Three Bridges win21%20%+1
Draw17%20%−3
Enfield Town win63%60%+3
Over 2.5 goals79%71%+8
Both teams to score72%67%+5
Over 1.5 goals92%87%+5
Over 3.5 goals62%52%+10
Three Bridges or draw37%40%−3
Three Bridges clean sheet7%––
Enfield Town clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.7%
0123450 4.2 5.2 4.7 3.2 1 2.5 5.6 7.7 6.9 4.8 2.72 4.5 5.9 5.3 3.6 2.13 2.4 3.1 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Three Bridges down, Enfield Town across0–5 goals a side shown (92.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 31 Aug

THREE BRIDGES

WLLDWL3–2 · 0–4 · 2–3 · 3–3 · 3–1 · 1–2

ENFIELD TOWN

WWLWWW4–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Enfield Town11+1727
2Lewes12+625
3Welling United11+1024
4Dartford11+624
5Carshalton Athletic13−321
6Ramsgate12+1019
7Eastbourne Borough10+819
8Chatham Town10+918
9Burgess Hill Town10+717
10St Albans City9+517
11Dulwich Hamlet10+416
12Leatherhead11−215
13Cheshunt11−314
14Wingate & Finchley10−414
15Cray Wanderers9+512
16Whyteleafe12−312
17Aveley11−111
18Brentwood Town10−49
19Maldon & Tiptree12−189
20Three Bridges11−118
21Whitehawk12−205
22Stanway Rovers10−184

The competition's standings before kick-off.