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Stanway Rovers v Three Bridges

Stanway Rovers
1–3Full time
Three Bridges

Non League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Stanway Rovers 1–3 Three Bridges STANWAY ROVERS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Stanway Rovers win40%
The market said36%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.562
The market’s Brier score0.580

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Stanway Rovers win at 40%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Stanway Rovers v Three Bridges
  3. 5′Little has changed for our model: Stanway Rovers 40% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–22–39
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Stanway Rovers 0–0 Three Bridges
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Stanway Rovers 0–0 Three Bridges
  6. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Stanway Rovers 0–1 Three Bridges
  7. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Stanway Rovers 1–2 Three Bridges
  8. FTFULL TIME Stanway Rovers 1–3 Three Bridges
  9. FTStanway Rovers 1–3 Three Bridges · Stanway Rovers win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Stanway Rovers win40%
Draw20%
Three Bridges win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stanway rovers winPublished 10 Oct 15:19
40% The market36%
Us40%
Market36%

We make Stanway Rovers a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.9.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 03:55
Our probability · stanway rovers win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 37% to 36% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Stanway Rovers win40%36%+4
Draw20%26%−5
Three Bridges win40%38%+2
Over 2.5 goals74%58%+16
Both teams to score72%61%+11
Over 1.5 goals89%79%+10
Over 3.5 goals54%37%+17
Stanway Rovers or draw60%62%−2
Stanway Rovers clean sheet15%––
Three Bridges clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.5%
0123450 4.5 4.0 2.6 1 4.5 7.5 7.3 4.8 2.4 2 4.0 7.3 7.0 4.5 2.2 3 2.6 4.8 4.5 2.9 4 2.4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Stanway Rovers down, Three Bridges across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian

STANWAY ROVERS

LLLLWL1–2 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 1–2

THREE BRIDGES

LDWLLD1–5 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 2–3 · 3–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Welling United10+1124
2Enfield Town9+1321
3Dartford10+521
4Carshalton Athletic11−121
5Lewes10+419
6Ramsgate10+916
7Dulwich Hamlet8+916
8Eastbourne Borough9+716
9Chatham Town9+615
10Leatherhead10−115
11St Albans City8+414
12Burgess Hill Town8+513
13Cray Wanderers8+612
14Cheshunt10−411
15Wingate & Finchley8−511
16Aveley10−110
17Brentwood Town9−19
18Maldon & Tiptree11−179
19Whyteleafe10−96
20Three Bridges9−125
21Whitehawk10−125
22Stanway Rovers9−164

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.