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Stanway Rovers v Cheshunt
Stanway Rovers
CheshuntNon League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cheshunt win at 46%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Cheshunt was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 31–23–46
- 1′KICK-OFF Stanway Rovers v Cheshunt
- 24′Stanway Rovers score on 23′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 57–24–19
- 24′We said Cheshunt at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 57–24–19
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 23' Stanway Rovers 1–0 Cheshunt
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Cheshunt win: 46% at kick-off, 19% now
- 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Stanway Rovers win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Cheshunt win 43%)
- 26′24′: M. Fanimo on the scoresheet for Stanway Rovers, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 58–24–18
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 59–24–17
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Cheshunt win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 40′We said Cheshunt at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 61–24–14
- 45′HALF-TIME Stanway Rovers 1–0 Cheshunt
- 46′SECOND HALF Stanway Rovers 1–0 Cheshunt
- 55′We said Cheshunt at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–24–9
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Cheshunt win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 70′We said Cheshunt at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–20–4
- 86′Stanway Rovers find the net on 85′. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Stanway Rovers 2–0 Cheshunt
- 91′A goal for Stanway Rovers on 90′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 91′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Stanway Rovers 3–0 Cheshunt
- FTFULL TIME Stanway Rovers 3–0 Cheshunt
- FTStanway Rovers 3–0 Cheshunt · Cheshunt win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Cheshunt are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Stanway Rovers 31%, draw 23%, Cheshunt 46%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Stanway Rovers win31%
Cheshunt win46%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 15
Match timeline
All events
Stanway RoversMIN
CheshuntEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Stanway Rovers
Cheshunt
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cheshunt a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanway Rovers win | 31% | 25% | +6 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Cheshunt win | 46% | 51% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 78% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Stanway Rovers or draw | 54% | 49% | +5 |
| Stanway Rovers clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Cheshunt clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 12 Sept
STANWAY ROVERS
CHESHUNT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Welling United | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Lewes | 13 | +6 | 26 |
| 4 | Dartford | 13 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 | Ramsgate | 13 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 | Eastbourne Borough | 11 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 | Carshalton Athletic | 15 | −5 | 22 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 12 | +12 | 21 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 10 | Wingate & Finchley | 12 | +1 | 20 |
| 11 | St Albans City | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 12 | Dulwich Hamlet | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Leatherhead | 11 | −2 | 15 |
| 14 | Whyteleafe | 14 | −3 | 15 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 12 | −3 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | −1 | 14 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 14 | −17 | 13 |
| 18 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 19 | Brentwood Town | 11 | −1 | 12 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 13 | −13 | 9 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 13 | −20 | 6 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 12 | −23 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Enfield Town
Welling United
Lewes
Dartford
Ramsgate
Eastbourne Borough
Carshalton Athletic
Chatham Town
Burgess Hill Town
Wingate & Finchley
St Albans City
Dulwich Hamlet
Leatherhead
Whyteleafe
Aveley
Maldon & Tiptree
Cray Wanderers
Brentwood Town
Three Bridges
Whitehawk