Maldon & Tiptree v Eastbourne Borough prediction · Non League Premier

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Maldon & TiptreeDrawEastbourne Borough

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Eastbourne Borough 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eastbourne Borough are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Maldon & Tiptree 26%, draw 21%, Eastbourne Borough 54%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Maldon & Tiptree v Eastbourne BoroughBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Maldon & Tiptree win26%

Draw21%

Eastbourne Borough win54%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Maldon & Tiptree

Eastbourne Borough

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last match: 24 Oct · the English FA Trophy

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Eastbourne Borough	11	+10	22
17	Maldon & Tiptree	15	−17	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eastbourne borough winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Eastbourne Borough a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.0, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Maldon & Tiptree v Eastbourne Borough~~1.31 – 1.99

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 31 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 22~~17 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Eastbourne Borough win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Maldon & Tiptree win	26%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Eastbourne Borough win	54%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Maldon & Tiptree or draw	46%	–	–
Maldon & Tiptree clean sheet	14%	–	–
Eastbourne Borough clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.3%

0123450 3.6 7.8 7.3 4.9 2.5 1 5.3 9.1 9.3 6.2 3.1 2 3.2 6.2 6.0 4.0 2.0 3 2.7 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Maldon & Tiptree down, Eastbourne Borough across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,450 Non League Premier - Isthmian matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Isthmian matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.3% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Maldon & Tiptree at home: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Eastbourne Borough away: 1.80 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.31 goals for Maldon & Tiptree, 1.99 for Eastbourne Borough. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 31 Aug

MALDON & TIPTREE

LLLDWD1–4 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

EASTBOURNE BOROUGH

LWWWWW0–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enfield Town	12	+17	28
2	Welling United	13	+11	27
3	Lewes	13	+6	26
4	Chatham Town	13	+13	24
5	Dartford	13	+2	24
6	Ramsgate	13	+12	22
7	Eastbourne Borough	11	+10	22
8	Carshalton Athletic	15	−5	22
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	+6	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	+1	20
11	Dulwich Hamlet	13	0	18
12	St Albans City	9	+5	17
13	Leatherhead	11	−2	15
14	Whyteleafe	14	−3	15
15	Cheshunt	13	−6	15
16	Aveley	13	−1	14
17	Maldon & Tiptree	15	−17	14
18	Cray Wanderers	9	+5	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	−1	12
20	Three Bridges	13	−13	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	−20	7
22	Whitehawk	13	−20	6