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Maldon & Tiptree v Dulwich Hamlet
Maldon & Tiptree
Dulwich HamletNon League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dulwich Hamlet win at 46%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Maldon & Tiptree v Dulwich Hamlet
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Dulwich Hamlet 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 32–22–45
- 42′A goal for Maldon & Tiptree on 41′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 62–24–14
- 42′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–24–14
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Maldon & Tiptree 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 14% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Maldon & Tiptree win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Dulwich Hamlet win 38%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Maldon & Tiptree 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
- 46′SECOND HALF Maldon & Tiptree 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
- 47′Dulwich Hamlet score on 47′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 28–35–37
- 47′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–1 · 28–35–37
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Maldon & Tiptree 1–1 Dulwich Hamlet
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 37% now
- 48′46′: D. Smith on the scoresheet for Dulwich Hamlet, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 28–36–36
- 54′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 26–39–34
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Maldon & Tiptree win 63%)
- 64′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 23–48–29
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 71′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 20–56–24
- 77′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 15–66–19
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 86′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 92′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
- FTFULL TIME Maldon & Tiptree 1–1 Dulwich Hamlet
- FTMaldon & Tiptree 1–1 Dulwich Hamlet · Dulwich Hamlet win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Dulwich Hamlet are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Maldon & Tiptree 33%, draw 22%, Dulwich Hamlet 46%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Maldon & Tiptree win33%
Dulwich Hamlet win46%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 15
Match timeline
All events
Maldon & TiptreeMIN
Dulwich HamletEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Maldon & Tiptree
Dulwich Hamlet
Last match: 19 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Dulwich Hamlet a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maldon & Tiptree win | 33% | 32% | +1 |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Dulwich Hamlet win | 46% | 43% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 60% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 80% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 39% | +3 |
| Maldon & Tiptree or draw | 54% | 57% | −3 |
| Maldon & Tiptree clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
| Dulwich Hamlet clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 12 Sept
MALDON & TIPTREE
DULWICH HAMLET
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Welling United | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Lewes | 13 | +6 | 26 |
| 4 | Dartford | 13 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 | Ramsgate | 13 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 | Eastbourne Borough | 11 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 | Carshalton Athletic | 15 | −5 | 22 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 12 | +12 | 21 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 10 | Wingate & Finchley | 12 | +1 | 20 |
| 11 | St Albans City | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 12 | Dulwich Hamlet | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Leatherhead | 11 | −2 | 15 |
| 14 | Whyteleafe | 14 | −3 | 15 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 12 | −3 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | −1 | 14 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 14 | −17 | 13 |
| 18 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 19 | Brentwood Town | 11 | −1 | 12 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 13 | −13 | 9 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 13 | −20 | 6 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 12 | −23 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Enfield Town
Welling United
Lewes
Dartford
Ramsgate
Eastbourne Borough
Carshalton Athletic
Chatham Town
Burgess Hill Town
Wingate & Finchley
St Albans City
Leatherhead
Whyteleafe
Cheshunt
Aveley
Cray Wanderers
Brentwood Town
Three Bridges
Whitehawk
Stanway Rovers