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Home › Football › Non League Premier - Isthmian › Maldon & Tiptree v Dulwich Hamlet

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Maldon & Tiptree v Dulwich Hamlet

Maldon & Tiptree
1–1Full time
Dulwich Hamlet

Non League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Maldon & Tiptree 1–1 Dulwich Hamlet DULWICH HAMLET WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Dulwich Hamlet win46%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.926
The market’s Brier score0.855

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dulwich Hamlet win at 46%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Maldon & Tiptree v Dulwich Hamlet
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Dulwich Hamlet 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 32–22–45
  4. 42′A goal for Maldon & Tiptree on 41′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 62–24–14
  5. 42′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–24–14
  6. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Maldon & Tiptree 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
  7. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 14% now
  8. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Maldon & Tiptree win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Dulwich Hamlet win 38%)
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Maldon & Tiptree 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Maldon & Tiptree 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
  11. 47′Dulwich Hamlet score on 47′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 28–35–37
  12. 47′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–1 · 28–35–37
  13. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Maldon & Tiptree 1–1 Dulwich Hamlet
  14. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 37% now
  15. 48′46′: D. Smith on the scoresheet for Dulwich Hamlet, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 28–36–36
  16. 54′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 26–39–34
  17. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Maldon & Tiptree win 63%)
  18. 64′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 23–48–29
  19. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
  20. 71′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 20–56–24
  21. 77′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 15–66–19
  22. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
  23. 86′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
  24. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Dulwich Hamlet win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
  25. 92′We said Dulwich Hamlet at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
  26. FTFULL TIME Maldon & Tiptree 1–1 Dulwich Hamlet
  27. FTMaldon & Tiptree 1–1 Dulwich Hamlet · Dulwich Hamlet win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dulwich Hamlet are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Maldon & Tiptree 33%, draw 22%, Dulwich Hamlet 46%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Maldon & Tiptree v Dulwich HamletBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Maldon & Tiptree win33%
Draw22%
Dulwich Hamlet win46%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Maldon & Tiptree

Dulwich Hamlet

5Days since last match4

Last match: 19 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Dulwich Hamlet12017
17Maldon & Tiptree14−1713

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dulwich hamlet winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 21 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off
46% The market43%
Us46%
Market43%

We make Dulwich Hamlet a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Maldon & Tiptree v Dulwich Hamlet1.50 – 1.81
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 12 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 13 v 1717 v 12
The market · Dulwich Hamlet win43% · ours 46%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 14:20
Our probability · Dulwich Hamlet win The market, margin stripped

Published at 49%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Maldon & Tiptree win33%32%+1
Draw22%25%−3
Dulwich Hamlet win46%43%+3
Over 2.5 goals64%60%+4
Both teams to score64%62%+2
Over 1.5 goals83%80%+3
Over 3.5 goals42%39%+3
Maldon & Tiptree or draw54%57%−3
Maldon & Tiptree clean sheet17%––
Dulwich Hamlet clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%
0123450 3.5 7.1 6.0 3.7 1 6.0 9.4 8.8 5.3 2.5 2 4.1 7.3 6.5 3.9 3 2.1 3.7 3.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Maldon & Tiptree down, Dulwich Hamlet across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting6.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsDUL 6–0 MAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 12 Sept

MALDON & TIPTREE

LLLLDW1–5 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1

DULWICH HAMLET

WWLLDL2–1 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Enfield Town12+1728
2Welling United12+1227
3Lewes13+626
4Dartford13+224
5Ramsgate13+1222
6Eastbourne Borough11+1022
7Carshalton Athletic15−522
8Chatham Town12+1221
9Burgess Hill Town12+620
10Wingate & Finchley12+120
11St Albans City9+517
12Dulwich Hamlet12017
13Leatherhead11−215
14Whyteleafe14−315
15Cheshunt12−315
16Aveley13−114
17Maldon & Tiptree14−1713
18Cray Wanderers9+512
19Brentwood Town11−112
20Three Bridges13−139
21Whitehawk13−206
22Stanway Rovers12−234

The competition's standings before kick-off.