Lewes v Maldon & Tiptree

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lewes win at 53%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Lewes 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–21–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lewes v Maldon & Tiptree
4. 5′Little has changed for our model: Lewes 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–21–26
5. 26′Lewes score on 26′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 75–16–9
6. 26′We said Lewes at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–9
7. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Lewes 1–0 Maldon & Tiptree
8. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Lewes win: 53% at kick-off, 75% now
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 75–17–9
10. 38′Maldon & Tiptree find the net on 38′. 1–1. 1–1 · 45–30–25
11. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Lewes 1–1 Maldon & Tiptree
12. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Lewes win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
13. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Lewes win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME Lewes 1–1 Maldon & Tiptree
15. 46′SECOND HALF Lewes 1–1 Maldon & Tiptree
16. 49′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–35–23
17. 54′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–38–23
18. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Lewes win 36%)
19. 63′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–46–20
20. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Lewes win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
21. 70′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–18
22. 76′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–63–14
23. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Lewes win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
24. 79′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–69–12
25. 83′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–9
26. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Lewes win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
27. 87′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
28. 92′We said Lewes at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
29. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Lewes win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
30. FTFULL TIME Lewes 1–1 Maldon & Tiptree
31. FTLewes 1–1 Maldon & Tiptree · Lewes win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.