Leatherhead v Wingate & Finchley prediction · Non League Premier

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Close to call, with Wingate & Finchley just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Leatherhead 38%, draw 22%, Wingate & Finchley 40%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Leatherhead v Wingate & FinchleyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · postponed, not graded

Leatherhead win38%

Draw22%

Wingate & Finchley win40%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Leatherhead

Wingate & Finchley

7Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Oct · the English FA Cup

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	+1	20
13	Leatherhead	11	−2	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wingate & finchley winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · postponed, not graded

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Wingate & Finchley a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Leatherhead v Wingate & Finchley~~1.62 – 1.69

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 31 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 20~~13 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Leatherhead win	38%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Wingate & Finchley win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Leatherhead or draw	60%	–	–
Leatherhead clean sheet	19%	–	–
Wingate & Finchley clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.6 6.8 5.3 3.0 1 6.5 9.5 8.1 4.6 2.0 2 4.9 7.9 6.5 3.6 3 2.7 4.3 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Leatherhead down, Wingate & Finchley across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,447 Non League Premier - Isthmian matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Isthmian matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.4% of games this season, across 134 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Leatherhead at home: 1.67 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Wingate & Finchley away: 1.83 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Leatherhead, 1.69 for Wingate & Finchley. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~WIN 1–1 LEA · LEA 1–2 WIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 31 Aug

LEATHERHEAD

LWDDLL2–3 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 3–3 · 0–3 · 1–2

WINGATE & FINCHLEY

LWLWWW1–4 · 4–3 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enfield Town	12	+17	28
2	Welling United	12	+12	27
3	Lewes	13	+6	26
4	Dartford	13	+2	24
5	Ramsgate	13	+12	22
6	Eastbourne Borough	11	+10	22
7	Carshalton Athletic	15	−5	22
8	Chatham Town	12	+12	21
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	+6	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	+1	20
11	St Albans City	9	+5	17
12	Dulwich Hamlet	12	0	17
13	Leatherhead	11	−2	15
14	Whyteleafe	14	−3	15
15	Cheshunt	12	−3	15
16	Aveley	13	−1	14
17	Maldon & Tiptree	14	−17	13
18	Cray Wanderers	9	+5	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	−1	12
20	Three Bridges	13	−13	9
21	Whitehawk	13	−20	6
22	Stanway Rovers	12	−23	4