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Enfield Town v Dulwich Hamlet

Enfield Town

3–0Full time

Dulwich Hamlet

Non League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Enfield Town 3–0 Dulwich Hamlet ENFIELD TOWN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Enfield Town win~~55%

~~The market said~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.300

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.420

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Enfield Town win at 55%.
2′KICK-OFF Enfield Town v Dulwich Hamlet
6′Much as we predicted: Enfield Town was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–22–24
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Enfield Town 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
45′HALF-TIME Enfield Town 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
46′SECOND HALF Enfield Town 1–0 Dulwich Hamlet
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Enfield Town 2–0 Dulwich Hamlet
79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Enfield Town 3–0 Dulwich Hamlet
FTFULL TIME Enfield Town 3–0 Dulwich Hamlet
FTEnfield Town 3–0 Dulwich Hamlet · Enfield Town win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Enfield Town win55%

Draw20%

Dulwich Hamlet win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · enfield town winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

55% The market47%

Us55%

~~Market~~47%

We make Enfield Town a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · enfield town win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 43% to 47% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Enfield Town win	55%	47%	+8
Draw	20%	24%	−4
Dulwich Hamlet win	25%	29%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	66%	61%	+5
Both teams to score	63%	62%	0
Over 1.5 goals	84%	81%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	44%	40%	+4
Enfield Town or draw	75%	71%	+4
Enfield Town clean sheet	27%	–	–
Dulwich Hamlet clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.2 4.9 3.0 1 7.5 8.7 5.9 2.6 2 7.2 9.2 6.0 2.7 3 5.0 6.4 4.1 4 2.7 3.4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Enfield Town down, Dulwich Hamlet across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,416 Non League Premier - Isthmian matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Non League Premier - Isthmian matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.9% of games this season, across 103 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Enfield Town at home: 2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Dulwich Hamlet away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.09 goals for Enfield Town, 1.32 for Dulwich Hamlet. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~DUL 0–4 ENF · ENF 3–2 DUL

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian

ENFIELD TOWN

WWWWLW3–1 · 5–1 · 4–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 2–1

DULWICH HAMLET

WLDWWW2–0 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Welling United	10	+11	24
2	Enfield Town	9	+13	21
3	Dartford	10	+5	21
4	Carshalton Athletic	11	−1	21
5	Lewes	10	+4	19
6	Ramsgate	10	+9	16
7	Dulwich Hamlet	8	+9	16
8	Eastbourne Borough	9	+7	16
9	Chatham Town	9	+6	15
10	Leatherhead	10	−1	15
11	St Albans City	8	+4	14
12	Burgess Hill Town	8	+5	13
13	Cray Wanderers	8	+6	12
14	Cheshunt	10	−4	11
15	Wingate & Finchley	8	−5	11
16	Aveley	10	−1	10
17	Brentwood Town	9	−1	9
18	Maldon & Tiptree	11	−17	9
19	Whyteleafe	10	−9	6
20	Three Bridges	9	−12	5
21	Whitehawk	10	−12	5
22	Stanway Rovers	9	−16	4