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Carshalton Athletic v St Albans City

Carshalton Athletic
0–1Full time
St Albans City

Non League Premier - Isthmian · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Carshalton Athletic 0–1 St Albans City ST ALBANS CITY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said St Albans City win40%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.549
The market’s Brier score0.494

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 5 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said St Albans City win at 40%.
  2. 2′KICK-OFF Carshalton Athletic v St Albans City
  3. 6′Little has changed for our model: St Albans City 40% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 37–24–39
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Carshalton Athletic 0–0 St Albans City
  5. 47′SECOND HALF Carshalton Athletic 0–0 St Albans City
  6. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Carshalton Athletic 0–1 St Albans City
  7. FTFULL TIME Carshalton Athletic 0–1 St Albans City
  8. FTCarshalton Athletic 0–1 St Albans City · St Albans City win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Carshalton Athletic win37%
Draw22%
St Albans City win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · st albans city winPublished 10 Oct 15:19
40% The market43%
Us40%
Market43%

We make St Albans City a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.6.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Carshalton Athletic win37%32%+5
Draw22%25%−3
St Albans City win40%43%−3
Over 2.5 goals62%60%+2
Both teams to score63%62%+1
Over 1.5 goals82%79%+3
Over 3.5 goals40%39%+1
Carshalton Athletic or draw60%57%+3
Carshalton Athletic clean sheet20%––
St Albans City clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%
0123450 3.8 7.1 5.4 3.0 1 6.8 9.9 8.3 4.6 2 5.0 8.0 6.5 3.6 3 2.7 4.2 3.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Carshalton Athletic down, St Albans City across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsCAR 1–0 STA · STA 2–1 CAR

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian

CARSHALTON ATHLETIC

LLLWWL2–3 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 3–2 · 3–2 · 0–4

ST ALBANS CITY

LLWDWD0–2 · 0–4 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 3–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Welling United10+1124
2Enfield Town9+1321
3Dartford10+521
4Carshalton Athletic11−121
5Lewes10+419
6Ramsgate10+916
7Dulwich Hamlet8+916
8Eastbourne Borough9+716
9Chatham Town9+615
10Leatherhead10−115
11St Albans City8+414
12Burgess Hill Town8+513
13Cray Wanderers8+612
14Cheshunt10−411
15Wingate & Finchley8−511
16Aveley10−110
17Brentwood Town9−19
18Maldon & Tiptree11−179
19Whyteleafe10−96
20Three Bridges9−125
21Whitehawk10−125
22Stanway Rovers9−164

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.