Home › Football › Non League Premier - Isthmian › Carshalton Athletic v Enfield Town

Carshalton Athletic v Enfield Town

Carshalton Athletic

1–2Full time

Enfield Town

Non League Premier - Isthmian · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 22:30

Carshalton Athletic 1–2 Enfield Town ENFIELD TOWN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Enfield Town win~~52%

~~The market said~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.345

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.421

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Enfield Town win at 52%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Enfield Town 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 27–21–52
1′KICK-OFF Carshalton Athletic v Enfield Town
2′Little has changed for our model: Enfield Town 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 27–22–52
20′20′ and it is 0–1: Enfield Town have scored. 0–1 · 10–16–74
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Carshalton Athletic 0–1 Enfield Town
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 49% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 49% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
23′19′ and it is 0–1: A. Bansal-McNulty on the scoresheet for Enfield Town. 0–1 · 10–16–74
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
25′We said Enfield Town at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 0–1 · 10–17–74
31′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 9–17–74
34′19′ and it is 0–1: A. Bansal-McNulty on the scoresheet for Enfield Town. 0–1 · 9–17–74
36′We said Enfield Town at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 0–1 · 8–17–74
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
43′⚽ GOAL · 19' Carshalton Athletic 0–1 Enfield Town · A. Bansal-McNulty
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Enfield Town win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
45′HALF-TIME Carshalton Athletic 0–1 Enfield Town
46′SECOND HALF Carshalton Athletic 0–1 Enfield Town
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Carshalton Athletic 1–1 Enfield Town
73′PENALTY MISSED · 73' Enfield Town
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Carshalton Athletic 1–2 Enfield Town
FTFULL TIME Carshalton Athletic 1–2 Enfield Town
FTCarshalton Athletic 1–2 Enfield Town · Enfield Town win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 19:31 · locked at kick-off

Carshalton Athletic win27%

Draw20%

Enfield Town win52%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 19:45

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Carshalton Athletic

Enfield Town

2Days since last match2

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enfield Town	10	+16	24
5	Carshalton Athletic	12	−2	21

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · enfield town winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 19:31 · locked at kick-off

52% The market47%

Us52%

~~Market~~47%

We make Enfield Town a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–2.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · enfield town win The market, margin stripped

Published at 50%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Carshalton Athletic win	27%	29%	−1
Draw	20%	24%	−4
Enfield Town win	52%	47%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	67%	60%	+7
Both teams to score	65%	62%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	85%	80%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	46%	39%	+6
Carshalton Athletic or draw	48%	53%	−5
Carshalton Athletic clean sheet	14%	–	–
Enfield Town clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.9%

0123450 3.0 6.9 6.5 4.4 2.3 1 5.0 8.6 8.9 6.1 3.2 2 3.3 6.3 6.3 4.3 2.2 3 3.1 3.0 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Carshalton Athletic down, Enfield Town across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,427 Non League Premier - Isthmian matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Non League Premier - Isthmian matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.2% of games this season, across 114 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.83 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Carshalton Athletic at home: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Enfield Town away: 2.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Carshalton Athletic, 2.06 for Enfield Town. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.83

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~CAR 1–1 ENF · ENF 0–3 CAR · ENF 4–1 CAR · CAR 1–3 ENF

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian

CARSHALTON ATHLETIC

LLWWLL0–3 · 0–3 · 3–2 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 0–1

ENFIELD TOWN

WWWLWW5–1 · 4–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enfield Town	10	+16	24
2	Welling United	11	+10	24
3	Dartford	11	+6	24
4	Lewes	11	+5	22
5	Carshalton Athletic	12	−2	21
6	Ramsgate	11	+12	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	+8	19
8	Chatham Town	10	+9	18
9	St Albans City	9	+5	17
10	Dulwich Hamlet	9	+6	16
11	Leatherhead	11	−2	15
12	Burgess Hill Town	9	+5	14
13	Cheshunt	11	−3	14
14	Cray Wanderers	9	+5	12
15	Aveley	11	−1	11
16	Wingate & Finchley	9	−6	11
17	Brentwood Town	10	−4	9
18	Whyteleafe	11	−8	9
19	Maldon & Tiptree	12	−18	9
20	Three Bridges	10	−10	8
21	Whitehawk	11	−15	5
22	Stanway Rovers	10	−18	4