Burgess Hill Town v Enfield Town prediction · Non League Premier

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Burgess Hill TownDrawEnfield Town

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Enfield Town 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Enfield Town are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Burgess Hill Town 31%, draw 20%, Enfield Town 49%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Burgess Hill Town v Enfield TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Burgess Hill Town win31%

Draw20%

Enfield Town win49%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Burgess Hill Town

Enfield Town

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the English FA Trophy

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · enfield town winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Enfield Town a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Burgess Hill Town v Enfield Town~~1.72 – 2.21

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 20 v 28~~9 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Burgess Hill Town win	31%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Enfield Town win	49%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Burgess Hill Town or draw	51%	–	–
Burgess Hill Town clean sheet	12%	–	–
Enfield Town clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.0%

0123450 4.8 4.8 3.5 1 3.9 7.2 8.0 5.8 3.3 2 3.0 6.3 6.8 4.9 2.8 3 3.7 3.9 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Burgess Hill Town down, Enfield Town across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,450 Non League Premier - Isthmian matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Isthmian matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.3% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Burgess Hill Town at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Enfield Town away: 3.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Burgess Hill Town, 2.21 for Enfield Town. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 12 Sept

BURGESS HILL TOWN

DWDWLW2–2 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–4 · 3–2

ENFIELD TOWN

WLWWWD3–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enfield Town	12	+17	28
2	Welling United	13	+11	27
3	Lewes	13	+6	26
4	Chatham Town	13	+13	24
5	Dartford	13	+2	24
6	Ramsgate	13	+12	22
7	Eastbourne Borough	11	+10	22
8	Carshalton Athletic	15	−5	22
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	+6	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	+1	20
11	Dulwich Hamlet	13	0	18
12	St Albans City	9	+5	17
13	Leatherhead	11	−2	15
14	Whyteleafe	14	−3	15
15	Cheshunt	13	−6	15
16	Aveley	13	−1	14
17	Maldon & Tiptree	15	−17	14
18	Cray Wanderers	9	+5	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	−1	12
20	Three Bridges	13	−13	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	−20	7
22	Whitehawk	13	−20	6