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Brentwood Town v Dartford
Brentwood Town
DartfordNon League Premier - Isthmian · TUE 20 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dartford win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Dartford 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 37–22–41
- 1′KICK-OFF Brentwood Town v Dartford
- 7′A goal for Brentwood Town on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 60–20–20
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Brentwood Town 1–0 Dartford
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Dartford win: 41% at kick-off, 20% now
- 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Brentwood Town win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Dartford win 40%)
- 8′A. Freeman scores for Brentwood Town on 6′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 60–20–20
- 9′We said Dartford at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 60–20–19
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 63–22–15
- 34′We said Dartford at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
- 45′HALF-TIME Brentwood Town 1–0 Dartford
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Dartford win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Brentwood Town 1–0 Dartford
- 53′We said Dartford at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–22–9
- 69′We said Dartford at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–20–4
- 75′Brentwood Town score on 75′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–0
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Brentwood Town 2–0 Dartford
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Dartford win: 41% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 76′74′: A. Cerulli on the scoresheet for Brentwood Town, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
- 92′Brentwood Town find the net on 90′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Brentwood Town 3–0 Dartford
- FTFULL TIME Brentwood Town 3–0 Dartford
- FTBrentwood Town 3–0 Dartford · Dartford win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Dartford just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Brentwood Town 37%, draw 22%, Dartford 41%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Brentwood Town win37%
Dartford win41%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45
RoundMatchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Brentwood TownMIN
DartfordEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Brentwood Town
Dartford
Last match: 17 Oct · the English FA Cup
Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Dartford a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 42%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentwood Town win | 37% | 38% | −1 |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Dartford win | 41% | 36% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 57% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 59% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 79% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 35% | +6 |
| Brentwood Town or draw | 59% | 64% | −5 |
| Brentwood Town clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Dartford clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 29 Aug
BRENTWOOD TOWN
DARTFORD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Welling United | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Lewes | 13 | +6 | 26 |
| 4 | Dartford | 12 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 | Carshalton Athletic | 14 | −3 | 22 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 12 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 11 | +8 | 18 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 | St Albans City | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 11 | Dulwich Hamlet | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 12 | Wingate & Finchley | 11 | −1 | 17 |
| 13 | Whyteleafe | 13 | −2 | 15 |
| 14 | Leatherhead | 11 | −2 | 15 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 12 | −3 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | −1 | 14 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 14 | −17 | 13 |
| 18 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 19 | Brentwood Town | 10 | −4 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 12 | −11 | 9 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 13 | −20 | 6 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 11 | −21 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Enfield Town
Welling United
Lewes
Carshalton Athletic
Ramsgate
Eastbourne Borough
Chatham Town
Burgess Hill Town
St Albans City
Dulwich Hamlet
Wingate & Finchley
Whyteleafe
Leatherhead
Cheshunt
Aveley
Maldon & Tiptree
Cray Wanderers
Three Bridges
Whitehawk
Stanway Rovers