Brentwood Town v Cheshunt prediction · Non League Premier

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Brentwood TownDrawCheshunt

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Brentwood Town 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Brentwood Town are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Brentwood Town 56%, draw 21%, Cheshunt 24%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Brentwood Town v CheshuntBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Brentwood Town win56%

Draw21%

Cheshunt win24%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Brentwood Town

Cheshunt

7Days since last match3

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last match: 24 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Cheshunt	13	−6	15
19	Brentwood Town	11	−1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brentwood town winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Brentwood Town a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Brentwood Town v Cheshunt~~2.02 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 15~~19 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Brentwood Town win

Published at 54%, 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brentwood Town win	56%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Cheshunt win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Brentwood Town or draw	76%	–	–
Brentwood Town clean sheet	29%	–	–
Cheshunt clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.7 5.2 3.0 1 8.2 9.2 5.9 2.5 2 7.8 9.5 5.8 2.4 3 5.3 6.4 3.9 4 2.7 3.3 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Brentwood Town down, Cheshunt across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,450 Non League Premier - Isthmian matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Non League Premier - Isthmian matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.3% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Brentwood Town at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Cheshunt away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.02 goals for Brentwood Town, 1.24 for Cheshunt. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~CHE 0–1 BRE · BRE 2–2 CHE · BRE 0–2 CHE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Non League Premier - Isthmian this season · since 12 Sept

BRENTWOOD TOWN

LLWWLW1–2 · 2–3 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 3–0

CHESHUNT

LWWWDL0–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enfield Town	12	+17	28
2	Welling United	13	+11	27
3	Lewes	13	+6	26
4	Chatham Town	13	+13	24
5	Dartford	13	+2	24
6	Ramsgate	13	+12	22
7	Eastbourne Borough	11	+10	22
8	Carshalton Athletic	15	−5	22
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	+6	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	+1	20
11	Dulwich Hamlet	13	0	18
12	St Albans City	9	+5	17
13	Leatherhead	11	−2	15
14	Whyteleafe	14	−3	15
15	Cheshunt	13	−6	15
16	Aveley	13	−1	14
17	Maldon & Tiptree	15	−17	14
18	Cray Wanderers	9	+5	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	−1	12
20	Three Bridges	13	−13	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	−20	7
22	Whitehawk	13	−20	6