Aveley v Maldon & Tiptree

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Aveley win at 69%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Aveley was 69% before kick-off and our model makes it 68% now. 0–0 · 68–16–15
3. 1′KICK-OFF Aveley v Maldon & Tiptree
4. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Aveley win: 69% at kick-off, 59% now
5. 34′Maldon & Tiptree find the net on 34′. 0–1. 0–1 · 32–27–41
6. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Aveley 0–1 Maldon & Tiptree
7. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Aveley win: 69% at kick-off, 32% now
8. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Maldon & Tiptree win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Aveley win 59%)
9. 35′We said Aveley at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–1 · 32–27–41
10. 40′We said Aveley at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–43
11. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Aveley win: 69% at kick-off, 29% now
12. 45′HALF-TIME Aveley 0–1 Maldon & Tiptree
13. 46′SECOND HALF Aveley 0–1 Maldon & Tiptree
14. 48′We said Aveley at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–29–47
15. 56′We said Aveley at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–29–52
16. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Aveley win: 69% at kick-off, 19% now
17. 63′We said Aveley at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–57
18. 68′A goal for Aveley on 68′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 38–47–14
19. 68′We said Aveley at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–47–14
20. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Aveley 1–1 Maldon & Tiptree
21. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Aveley win: 69% at kick-off, 38% now
22. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Maldon & Tiptree win 62%)
23. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Aveley win: 69% at kick-off, 29% now
24. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Aveley win: 69% at kick-off, 19% now
25. 88′Maldon & Tiptree score on 88′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 1–10–90
26. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Aveley 1–2 Maldon & Tiptree
27. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Aveley win: 69% at kick-off, 1% now
28. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Maldon & Tiptree win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 85%)
29. 89′We said Aveley at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–9–91
30. 91′87′: T. Eastman on the scoresheet for Maldon & Tiptree, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–93
31. FTFULL TIME Aveley 1–2 Maldon & Tiptree
32. FTAveley 1–2 Maldon & Tiptree · Aveley win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.