Woking v Boreham Wood prediction · National League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

WokingDrawBoreham Wood

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Boreham Wood 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Boreham Wood are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Woking 31%, draw 24%, Boreham Wood 44%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Woking v Boreham WoodBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Woking win31%

Draw24%

Boreham Wood win44%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 15

VenueKingfield Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Woking

Boreham Wood

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · the English National League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · boreham wood winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Boreham Wood a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Woking v Boreham Wood~~1.34 – 1.64

~~Form · last six in National League this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 15 v 35~~16 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Woking win	31%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Boreham Wood win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Woking or draw	56%	–	–
Woking clean sheet	20%	–	–
Boreham Wood clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.5 8.3 6.8 3.7 1 6.8 11.2 8.9 4.9 2.1 2 4.6 7.3 5.9 3.2 3 2.1 3.3 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Woking down, Boreham Wood across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,892 National League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National League matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.6% of games this season, across 155 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.78 goals a meeting; 4 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Woking at home: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Boreham Wood away: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Woking, 1.64 for Boreham Wood. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.78

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~BOR 3–2 WOK · WOK 2–2 BOR · BOR 1–0 WOK · WOK 0–1 BOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National League this season · since 19 Sept

WOKING

DWLWLW0–0 · 5–2 · 2–4 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 3–2

BOREHAM WOOD

WWWWWW4–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Boreham Wood	13	+21	35
2	Harrogate Town	14	+14	31
3	Southend	13	+12	27
4	Yeovil Town	13	+17	25
5	Worthing	13	+9	24
6	Altrincham	13	+1	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	+6	23
8	Barrow	13	+6	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	−4	21
10	FC Halifax Town	13	+7	20
11	Kidderminster Harriers	13	+3	20
12	Aldershot Town	13	+2	18
13	Eastleigh	14	−4	18
14	Sutton Utd	14	−6	18
15	Carlisle	13	+3	17
16	Woking	13	0	15
17	Forest Green	12	−3	15
18	Tamworth	13	−9	14
19	Wealdstone	13	−7	12
20	Hartlepool	13	−7	12
21	Boston United	14	−10	12
22	Scunthorpe	12	−6	10
23	Solihull Moors	13	−22	7
24	Gateshead	13	−23	4