Wealdstone v Solihull Moors prediction · National League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

WealdstoneDrawSolihull Moors

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Wealdstone 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wealdstone are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wealdstone 47%, draw 23%, Solihull Moors 31%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Wealdstone v Solihull MoorsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Wealdstone win47%

Draw23%

Solihull Moors win31%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 15

VenueGrosvenor Vale

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wealdstone

Solihull Moors

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · the English National League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
19	Wealdstone	13	−7	12
23	Solihull Moors	13	−22	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wealdstone winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Wealdstone a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wealdstone v Solihull Moors~~1.88 – 1.48

~~Form · last six in National League this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 12 v 7~~19 v 23

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wealdstone win	47%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Solihull Moors win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Wealdstone or draw	69%	–	–
Wealdstone clean sheet	23%	–	–
Solihull Moors clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 3.8 5.2 3.9 1 6.6 9.8 7.0 3.5 2 6.1 8.8 6.5 3.2 3 3.8 5.5 4.0 2.0 4 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wealdstone down, Solihull Moors across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,892 National League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National League matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.6% of games this season, across 155 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wealdstone at home: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Solihull Moors away: 1.50 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Wealdstone, 1.48 for Solihull Moors. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~WEA 5–1 SOL · SOL 1–1 WEA · WEA 1–1 SOL · SOL 1–1 WEA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National League this season · since 18 Sept

WEALDSTONE

LWDLLW1–2 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–6 · 1–0

SOLIHULL MOORS

LLWLLL1–4 · 0–3 · 4–2 · 0–2 · 0–5 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Boreham Wood	13	+21	35
2	Harrogate Town	14	+14	31
3	Southend	13	+12	27
4	Yeovil Town	13	+17	25
5	Worthing	13	+9	24
6	Altrincham	13	+1	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	+6	23
8	Barrow	13	+6	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	−4	21
10	FC Halifax Town	13	+7	20
11	Kidderminster Harriers	13	+3	20
12	Aldershot Town	13	+2	18
13	Eastleigh	14	−4	18
14	Sutton Utd	14	−6	18
15	Carlisle	13	+3	17
16	Woking	13	0	15
17	Forest Green	12	−3	15
18	Tamworth	13	−9	14
19	Wealdstone	13	−7	12
20	Hartlepool	13	−7	12
21	Boston United	14	−10	12
22	Scunthorpe	12	−6	10
23	Solihull Moors	13	−22	7
24	Gateshead	13	−23	4