Southend v FC Halifax Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Southend win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Southend was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–24–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Southend v FC Halifax Town
4. 22′We published Southend at 53%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–16–7
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Southend 1–0 FC Halifax Town
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 77% now
7. 23′Southend score on 23′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–16–7
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–6
9. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Southend 1–1 FC Halifax Town
10. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 46% now
11. 32′FC Halifax Town find the net on 32′. 1–1. 1–1 · 45–32–22
12. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
13. 44′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–37–21
14. 45′HALF-TIME Southend 1–1 FC Halifax Town
15. 45′SECOND HALF Southend 1–1 FC Halifax Town
16. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' FC Halifax Town · On: D. Hill · Off: R. Conte
17. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Southend
18. 49′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–40–21
19. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Southend win 40%)
20. 59′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–47–19
21. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
22. 66′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–16
23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' FC Halifax Town · On: C. Douglas · Off: C. Allen
24. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Southend · On: S. Kamara · Off: Z. Massiah-Edwards
25. 72′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
27. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FC Halifax Town · On: M. Maltby · Off: M. Bardell
28. 77′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–70–11
29. 81′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–77–9
30. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
31. 85′A goal for Southend on 84′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 94–5–0
32. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Southend 2–1 FC Halifax Town
33. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 94% now
34. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Southend win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 84%)
35. 86′We published Southend at 53%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
36. 86′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 95–5–0
37. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' FC Halifax Town · On: Z. Gilsenan · Off: W. Hugill
38. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' FC Halifax Town · On: B. Tollitt · Off: A. Morgan-Smith
39. 89′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 6–90–4
40. 89′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 6–90–4
41. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Southend 2–2 FC Halifax Town
42. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 6% now
43. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Southend win 96%)
44. 90′FC Halifax Town score on 90′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 5–91–3
45. 92′We said Southend at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
46. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Southend win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
47. 94′Full time, 2–2. We called Southend at 53% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
48. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Southend · On: B. Goodliffe · Off: P. Omochere
49. FTFULL TIME Southend 2–2 FC Halifax Town
50. FTSouthend 2–2 FC Halifax Town · Southend win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.