Kidderminster Harriers v Worthing

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kidderminster Harriers win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kidderminster Harriers was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–27–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kidderminster Harriers v Worthing
4. 34′SUBSTITUTION · 32' Kidderminster Harriers · On: M. Brogan · Off: O. Evans
5. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Kidderminster Harriers win 34%)
6. 42′We published Kidderminster Harriers at 37%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
7. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Worthing
8. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Kidderminster Harriers win: 37% at kick-off, 70% now
9. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Kidderminster Harriers win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 39%)
10. 43′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 70–21–8
11. 43′A goal for Kidderminster Harriers on 43′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 70–21–8
12. 46′SECOND HALF Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Worthing
13. 49′HALF-TIME Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Worthing
14. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Worthing · On: H. Griffiths · Off: J. Wadham
15. 57′We published Kidderminster Harriers at 37%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
16. 58′We said Kidderminster Harriers at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–50–25
17. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 Worthing
18. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Kidderminster Harriers win: 37% at kick-off, 25% now
19. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Kidderminster Harriers win 75%)
20. 59′Worthing score on 58′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 25–50–25
21. 61′We said Kidderminster Harriers at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–52–24
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Kidderminster Harriers · On: O. Tipton · Off: Z. Brown
23. 67′We said Kidderminster Harriers at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–18–79
24. 67′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 3–18–79
25. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Worthing · On: D. Johnson-Fisher · Off: C. Kendall
26. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Kidderminster Harriers 1–2 Worthing
27. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Kidderminster Harriers win: 37% at kick-off, 3% now
28. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Worthing win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 58%)
29. 68′Worthing find the net on 68′. 1–2. 1–2 · 3–17–79
30. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Kidderminster Harriers · On: M. Reindorf · Off: D. Davis
31. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Kidderminster Harriers
32. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Kidderminster Harriers
33. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Worthing · On: E. Sutton · Off: A. Nathaniel-George
34. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Kidderminster Harriers
35. 95′Full time, 1–2. We called Kidderminster Harriers at 37% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–2 · 0–0–100
36. FTFULL TIME Kidderminster Harriers 1–2 Worthing
37. FTKidderminster Harriers 1–2 Worthing · Kidderminster Harriers win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.