Eastleigh v Boston United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Eastleigh win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Eastleigh was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–26–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Eastleigh v Boston United
4. 21′We published Eastleigh at 40%. Our model now makes it 67%. 1–0 · 67–20–13
5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Eastleigh 1–0 Boston United
6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, 67% now
7. 22′Eastleigh find the net on 22′. 1–0. 1–0 · 67–20–13
8. 24′SUBSTITUTION · 21' Eastleigh · On: A. Koiki · Off: N. Khumbeni
9. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Eastleigh 1–1 Boston United
10. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, 37% now
11. 28′A goal for Boston United on 27′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–31–32
12. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Eastleigh 2–1 Boston United
13. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, 68% now
14. 30′Eastleigh score on 29′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 68–21–11
15. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 68–21–11
16. 30′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 36–32–32
17. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Eastleigh 2–2 Boston United
18. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, 36% now
19. 32′Boston United find the net on 31′. 2–2. 2–2 · 36–33–32
20. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Eastleigh win 35%)
21. 45′SECOND HALF Eastleigh 2–2 Boston United
22. 49′HALF-TIME Eastleigh 2–2 Boston United
23. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Boston United
24. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
25. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Eastleigh
26. 57′We said Eastleigh at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 2–2 · 28–46–26
27. 59′We published Eastleigh at 40%. Our model now makes it 75%. 3–2 · 75–20–5
28. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Eastleigh 3–2 Boston United
29. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, 75% now
30. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Eastleigh win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 47%)
31. 60′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 75–20–5
32. 60′A goal for Eastleigh on 60′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 75–20–5
33. 69′We published Eastleigh at 40%. Our model now makes it 80%. 3–2 · 80–17–3
34. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
35. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Boston United · On: T. Cursons · Off: O. Bostock
36. 76′We published Eastleigh at 40%. Our model now makes it 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
37. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Eastleigh · On: S. Bamey · Off: D. Rankine
38. 82′We published Eastleigh at 40%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
39. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
40. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Boston United · On: J. Holmes · Off: L. Wheeldon
41. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Boston United
42. 88′We published Eastleigh at 40%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
43. 94′We published Eastleigh at 40%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
44. 94′6 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 100–0–0
45. 94′Eastleigh score on 90′ to make it 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
46. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Eastleigh 4–2 Boston United
47. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Eastleigh win: 40% at kick-off, over 99% now
48. 95′Full time, 4–2. We called Eastleigh at 40% — that one lands. 4–2 · 100–0–0
49. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Eastleigh · On: H. Sidwell · Off: J. Lundstram
50. FTFULL TIME Eastleigh 4–2 Boston United
51. FTEastleigh 4–2 Boston United · Eastleigh win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.