Altrincham v Aldershot Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Altrincham win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Altrincham was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–23–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Altrincham v Aldershot Town
4. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 14' M. Efete · Aldershot Town
5. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Altrincham 1–0 Aldershot Town
6. 26′⚽ GOAL · 28' Altrincham 1–0 Aldershot Town
7. 29′Altrincham ahead on 28′ through L. Banks. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–18–9
8. 29′We published Altrincham at 48%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–18–9
9. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Altrincham win: 48% at kick-off, 73% now
10. 33′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 73–18–9
11. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Altrincham
12. 45′We published Altrincham at 48%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
13. 45′SECOND HALF Altrincham 1–0 Aldershot Town
14. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Altrincham 1–1 Aldershot Town · L. Banks
15. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Altrincham win: 48% at kick-off, 39% now
16. 45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Altrincham 1–1 Aldershot Town
17. 46′HALF-TIME Altrincham 1–0 Aldershot Town
18. 47′B. Tuma scores for Aldershot Town on 46′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 38–37–25
19. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Altrincham
20. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Altrincham win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
21. 54′We said Altrincham at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–41–24
22. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Altrincham win 35%)
23. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Aldershot Town
24. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' D. Odusanya · Aldershot Town
25. 58′We said Altrincham at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–23
26. 66′We said Altrincham at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–51–20
27. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Aldershot Town · On: M. Dinanga · Off: A. Lewis
28. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Altrincham win: 48% at kick-off, 27% now
29. 73′We said Altrincham at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–61–16
30. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Aldershot Town · On: T. Abrahams · Off: M. Wyllie
31. 80′A red card for Aldershot Town on 80′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 16–73–11
32. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Altrincham · On: A. Barlow · Off: C. Kirk
33. 80′🟥 RED CARD · 80' Aldershot Town
34. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Altrincham win: 48% at kick-off, 16% now
35. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Altrincham 2–1 Aldershot Town · B. Tuma
36. 81′⚽ GOAL · 82' Altrincham 2–1 Aldershot Town
37. 82′82′ and it is 2–1: A. Barlow on the scoresheet for Altrincham. 2–1 · 91–9–1
38. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Altrincham win: 48% at kick-off, 91% now
39. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Altrincham win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 9%)
40. 83′We published Altrincham at 48%. Our model now makes it 92%. 2–1 · 92–8–0
41. 86′We published Altrincham at 48%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
42. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Aldershot Town · On: J. Borgnis · Off: H. Sandah
43. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Altrincham win: 48% at kick-off, 99% now
44. 90′We published Altrincham at 48%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–1 · 100–0–0
45. 92′⚽ GOAL · 92' Altrincham 3–1 Aldershot Town · A. Barlow
46. 92′⚽ GOAL · 93' Altrincham 3–1 Aldershot Town
47. 93′Altrincham find the net on 90′. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
48. FTFULL TIME Altrincham 3–1 Aldershot Town
49. FTAltrincham 3–1 Aldershot Town · Altrincham win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.