Slough Town v Horsham

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Horsham win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Horsham 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 36–24–40
3. 1′KICK-OFF Slough Town v Horsham
4. 6′Little has changed for our model: Horsham 40% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 36–25–39
5. 6′A goal for Slough Town on 6′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 61–21–18
6. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Slough Town 1–0 Horsham
7. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Horsham win: 40% at kick-off, 18% now
8. 6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' Slough Town win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Horsham win 18%)
9. 7′We said Horsham at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–0 · 61–21–18
10. 27′We said Horsham at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 64–22–14
12. 35′Slough Town are down to ten from 35′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 65–22–13
13. 35′🟥 RED CARD · 35' Slough Town
14. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Horsham win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
15. 45′SECOND HALF Slough Town 1–1 Horsham
16. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Slough Town 1–1 Horsham
17. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Horsham win: 40% at kick-off, 32% now
18. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Slough Town win 30%)
19. 48′Horsham score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 29–39–32
20. 50′HALF-TIME Slough Town 1–1 Horsham
21. 54′We said Horsham at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–2 · 7–21–72
22. 54′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 7–21–72
23. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Slough Town 1–2 Horsham
24. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Horsham win: 40% at kick-off, 72% now
25. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Horsham win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
26. 55′Horsham find the net on 55′. 1–2. 1–2 · 7–21–73
27. 60′We said Horsham at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 5–20–75
28. 70′We said Horsham at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
29. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Horsham win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
30. 77′We said Horsham at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
31. 82′We said Horsham at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
32. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Horsham win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
33. 89′We said Horsham at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
34. 93′1–2 at the end. Our 40% on Horsham comes in. 1–2 · 0–0–100
35. FTFULL TIME Slough Town 1–2 Horsham
36. FTSlough Town 1–2 Horsham · Horsham win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.