Slough Town v Dorking Wanderers

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dorking Wanderers win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Dorking Wanderers was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 25–19–56
3. 1′KICK-OFF Slough Town v Dorking Wanderers
4. 15′We said Dorking Wanderers at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–0 · 47–22–31
5. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Slough Town 1–0 Dorking Wanderers
6. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Dorking Wanderers win: 56% at kick-off, 31% now
7. 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Slough Town win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Dorking Wanderers win 53%)
8. 16′Slough Town score on 15′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 47–22–31
9. 20′We said Dorking Wanderers at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 48–23–29
10. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Dorking Wanderers win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.9 we expected. 1–0 · 50–24–26
12. 34′We said Dorking Wanderers at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 51–24–24
13. 45′SECOND HALF Slough Town 1–0 Dorking Wanderers
14. 46′We said Dorking Wanderers at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 55–26–19
15. 46′HALF-TIME Slough Town 1–0 Dorking Wanderers
16. 51′We said Dorking Wanderers at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 24–33–43
17. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Slough Town 1–1 Dorking Wanderers
18. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Dorking Wanderers win: 56% at kick-off, 43% now
19. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Dorking Wanderers win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Slough Town win 57%)
20. 52′Dorking Wanderers find the net on 51′. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–34–43
21. 59′We published Dorking Wanderers at 56%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–2 · 5–17–78
22. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Slough Town 1–2 Dorking Wanderers
23. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Dorking Wanderers win: 56% at kick-off, 78% now
24. 60′A goal for Dorking Wanderers on 59′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–17–78
25. 66′We published Dorking Wanderers at 56%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 4–16–80
26. 76′We published Dorking Wanderers at 56%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
27. 77′We published Dorking Wanderers at 56%. Our model now makes it 98%. 1–3 · 0–1–98
28. 77′4 goals already, more than the 3.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–1–98
29. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Slough Town 1–3 Dorking Wanderers
30. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Dorking Wanderers win: 56% at kick-off, 98% now
31. 78′Dorking Wanderers score on 77′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–1–99
32. 84′We published Dorking Wanderers at 56%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
33. 95′Full time, 1–3. We called Dorking Wanderers at 56% — that one lands. 1–3 · 0–0–100
34. FTFULL TIME Slough Town 1–3 Dorking Wanderers
35. FTSlough Town 1–3 Dorking Wanderers · Dorking Wanderers win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.