Hampton & Richmond v Truro City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Truro City win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Truro City was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 24–24–51
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hampton & Richmond v Truro City
4. 27′We said Truro City at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–0 · 54–26–20
5. 27′A goal for Hampton & Richmond on 26′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 54–26–20
6. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Hampton & Richmond 1–0 Truro City
7. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 20% now
8. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Hampton & Richmond win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Truro City win 46%)
9. 29′We said Truro City at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 55–26–19
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 55–26–19
11. 35′Truro City score on 35′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 23–34–43
12. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Hampton & Richmond 1–1 Truro City
13. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 43% now
14. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Truro City win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Hampton & Richmond win 57%)
15. 42′Hampton & Richmond find the net on 41′. 2–1. 2–1 · 59–26–15
16. 42′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 59–26–15
17. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Hampton & Richmond 2–1 Truro City
18. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 15% now
19. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Hampton & Richmond win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Truro City win 41%)
20. 43′We said Truro City at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 59–26–14
21. 45′HALF-TIME Hampton & Richmond 2–1 Truro City
22. 46′SECOND HALF Hampton & Richmond 2–1 Truro City
23. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
24. 53′A goal for Hampton & Richmond on 52′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 89–8–2
25. 53′We said Truro City at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 3–1 · 89–8–2
26. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Hampton & Richmond 3–1 Truro City
27. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
28. 54′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 90–8–2
29. 66′Truro City score on 66′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 72–23–6
30. 66′We said Truro City at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 3–2 · 72–23–6
31. 66′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 72–23–6
32. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Hampton & Richmond 3–2 Truro City
33. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 6% now
34. 69′Truro City find the net on 69′. 3–3. 3–3 · 15–59–26
35. 69′We said Truro City at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 3–3 · 15–59–26
36. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Hampton & Richmond 3–3 Truro City
37. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 26% now
38. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Hampton & Richmond win 74%)
39. 70′6 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 15–60–25
40. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
41. 78′A goal for Truro City on 77′ — 3–4. 3–4 · 1–10–90
42. 78′We published Truro City at 52%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–4 · 1–10–90
43. 78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Hampton & Richmond 3–4 Truro City
44. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 90% now
45. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Truro City win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 70%)
46. 79′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–4 · 1–9–90
47. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Truro City win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
48. 87′We published Truro City at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–4 · 0–5–95
49. FTFULL TIME Hampton & Richmond 3–4 Truro City
50. FTHampton & Richmond 3–4 Truro City · Truro City win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.