Chelmsford City v Tonbridge Angels

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chelmsford City win at 48%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Chelmsford City 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–24–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Chelmsford City v Tonbridge Angels
4. 22′We said Chelmsford City at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–18–9
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Chelmsford City win: 48% at kick-off, 73% now
7. 23′Chelmsford City score on 23′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 73–18–9
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 74–18–8
9. 36′We said Chelmsford City at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
10. 45′SECOND HALF Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels
11. 46′HALF-TIME Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels
12. 48′We said Chelmsford City at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
13. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Chelmsford City 2–0 Tonbridge Angels
14. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Chelmsford City win: 48% at kick-off, 94% now
15. 49′Chelmsford City find the net on 49′. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
16. 50′We said Chelmsford City at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
17. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Chelmsford City win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
18. 75′We said Chelmsford City at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–12–1
19. 75′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 86–12–1
20. 75′A goal for Tonbridge Angels on 75′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 86–12–1
21. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Chelmsford City 2–1 Tonbridge Angels
22. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Chelmsford City win: 48% at kick-off, 86% now
23. 77′We said Chelmsford City at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–70–12
24. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 18–70–12
25. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Chelmsford City 2–2 Tonbridge Angels
26. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Chelmsford City win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
27. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Chelmsford City win 87%)
28. 78′Tonbridge Angels score on 78′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 17–71–12
29. 81′We said Chelmsford City at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–77–9
30. 84′We said Chelmsford City at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–84–7
31. 86′A goal for Chelmsford City on 86′. 2–2 · 8–86–6
32. 86′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 94–6–0
33. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Chelmsford City win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
34. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Chelmsford City 3–2 Tonbridge Angels
35. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Chelmsford City win: 48% at kick-off, 94% now
36. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Chelmsford City win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 86%)
37. 88′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 7–89–5
38. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Chelmsford City 3–3 Tonbridge Angels
39. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Chelmsford City win: 48% at kick-off, 7% now
40. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Chelmsford City win 95%)
41. 91′A goal for Tonbridge Angels on 90′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 4–93–3
42. 91′We said Chelmsford City at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–93–3
43. 92′J. Thompson scores for Tonbridge Angels on 88′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 3–94–2
44. 94′3–3 at the end. Our 48% on Chelmsford City misses, and the record keeps it. 3–3 · 0–100–0
45. FTFULL TIME Chelmsford City 3–3 Tonbridge Angels
46. FTChelmsford City 3–3 Tonbridge Angels · Chelmsford City win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.