Spalding United v Hebburn Town prediction · National League

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

Spalding United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Spalding United 50%, draw 24%, Hebburn Town 25%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Spalding United v Hebburn TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · postponed, not graded

Spalding United win50%

Draw24%

Hebburn Town win25%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45

RoundNational League North · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Spalding United

Hebburn Town

10Days since last match10

Last match: 10 Oct · National League - North

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Hebburn Town	11	−3	18
8	Spalding United	11	+5	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spalding united winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · postponed, not graded

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Spalding United a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Spalding United v Hebburn Town~~1.62 – 1.06

~~Form · last six in National League - North this season · since 31 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 17 v 18~~8 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spalding United win	50%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Hebburn Town win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Spalding United or draw	75%	–	–
Spalding United clean sheet	35%	–	–
Hebburn Town clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 7.0 7.5 3.9 1 11.3 11.4 6.1 2.2 2 8.9 9.2 4.9 3 4.9 5.0 2.7 4 2.0 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Spalding United down, Hebburn Town across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,807 National League - North matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National League - North matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.5% of games this season, across 132 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Spalding United at home: 1.40 scored, 0.60 conceded a game (last 5). Hebburn Town away: 1.00 scored, 2.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Spalding United, 1.06 for Hebburn Town. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National League - North this season · since 31 Aug

SPALDING UNITED

DWWWLL1–1 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–1

HEBBURN TOWN

LDLWDL0–3 · 1–1 · 1–5 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Macclesfield	11	+8	24
2	Hereford	11	+16	23
3	Oxford City	11	+14	23
4	Chester	11	+5	20
5	South Shields	11	+1	20
6	King's Lynn Town	11	+6	19
7	Hebburn Town	11	−3	18
8	Spalding United	11	+5	17
9	Chorley	11	0	17
10	Buxton	11	−1	16
11	Bedford Town	11	−1	16
12	Hednesford Town	11	+1	15
13	Marine	11	+1	15
14	Harborough Town	11	−1	15
15	Worksop Town	11	−5	15
16	Brackley Town	11	−7	15
17	Morecambe	11	+4	14
18	Merthyr Town	11	+1	14
19	Scarborough Athletic	11	0	12
20	Southport	11	−8	9
21	Radcliffe	11	−8	9
22	AFC Telford United	11	−8	9
23	Darlington 1883	11	−9	8
24	Spennymoor Town	11	−11	7