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Southport v Radcliffe
Southport
RadcliffeNational League - North · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Southport win at 47%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Southport v Radcliffe
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Southport 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–23–30
- 8′Little has changed for our model: Southport 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–30
- 36′We said Southport at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–24–60
- 36′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 16–24–60
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Southport 0–1 Radcliffe
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Southport win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
- 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Radcliffe win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Southport win 16%)
- 37′A goal for Radcliffe on 37′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–24–60
- 42′We said Southport at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–61
- 45′SECOND HALF Southport 0–1 Radcliffe
- 47′HALF-TIME Southport 0–1 Radcliffe
- 57′We said Southport at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Southport win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 71′We said Southport at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
- 72′Radcliffe score on 72′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–96
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Southport 0–2 Radcliffe
- 94′0–2 at the end. Our 47% on Southport misses, and the record keeps it. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Southport 0–2 Radcliffe
- FTSouthport 0–2 Radcliffe · Southport win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSouthport are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Southport 47%, draw 23%, Radcliffe 30%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Southport win47%
Radcliffe win30%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundNational League North · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
SouthportMIN
RadcliffeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Southport
Radcliffe
Last match: 10 Oct · National League - North
Last match: 10 Oct · National League - North
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Southport a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southport win | 47% | 46% | +1 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Radcliffe win | 30% | 29% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 61% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 62% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 81% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 42% | −4 |
| Southport or draw | 70% | 71% | −1 |
| Southport clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Radcliffe clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in National League - North this season · since 31 Aug
SOUTHPORT
RADCLIFFE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | +16 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | +14 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | +1 | 20 |
| 6 | King's Lynn Town | 11 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | −3 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | −1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford Town | 11 | −1 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford Town | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough Town | 11 | −1 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop Town | 11 | −5 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley Town | 11 | −7 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | −8 | 9 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 11 | −8 | 9 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 11 | −8 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 11 | −9 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | −11 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Macclesfield
Hereford
Oxford City
Chester
South Shields
King's Lynn Town
Hebburn Town
Spalding United
Chorley
Buxton
Bedford Town
Hednesford Town
Marine
Harborough Town
Worksop Town
Brackley Town
Morecambe
Merthyr Town
Scarborough Athletic
AFC Telford United
Darlington 1883
Spennymoor Town