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Macclesfield v Hereford
Macclesfield
HerefordNational League - North · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Macclesfield win at 48%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Macclesfield was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–23–28
- 1′KICK-OFF Macclesfield v Hereford
- 14′🟥 RED CARD · 14' Macclesfield
- 15′A red card for Macclesfield on 15′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 23–23–54
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Macclesfield 0–1 Hereford
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Macclesfield win: 48% at kick-off, 23% now
- 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Hereford win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Macclesfield win 46%)
- 16′We said Macclesfield at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–23–54
- 16′Hereford find the net on 16′. 0–1. 0–1 · 22–23–54
- 27′We said Macclesfield at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–56
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 18–24–57
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Macclesfield win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 43′We said Macclesfield at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
- 47′HALF-TIME Macclesfield 0–1 Hereford
- 49′SECOND HALF Macclesfield 0–1 Hereford
- 55′We said Macclesfield at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–42–23
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Macclesfield 1–1 Hereford
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Macclesfield win: 48% at kick-off, 35% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Hereford win 65%)
- 56′We said Macclesfield at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–23
- 56′A goal for Macclesfield on 56′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–43–23
- 62′We said Macclesfield at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 1–2 · 7–23–69
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Macclesfield 1–2 Hereford
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Macclesfield win: 48% at kick-off, 7% now
- 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Hereford win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 47%)
- 63′Hereford score on 63′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 7–23–70
- 65′🟥 RED CARD · 65' Macclesfield
- 71′We said Macclesfield at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
- 95′Full time, 1–2. We called Macclesfield at 48% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Macclesfield 1–2 Hereford
- FTMacclesfield 1–2 Hereford · Macclesfield win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Macclesfield are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Macclesfield 48%, draw 23%, Hereford 28%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Macclesfield win48%
Hereford win28%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundNational League North · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
MacclesfieldMIN
HerefordEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Macclesfield
Hereford
Last match: 20 Oct · the English FA Cup
Last match: 10 Oct · National League - North
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Macclesfield a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield win | 48% | 52% | −4 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Hereford win | 28% | 23% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 59% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 80% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 38% | −3 |
| Macclesfield or draw | 72% | 77% | −5 |
| Macclesfield clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Hereford clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in National League - North this season · since 31 Aug
MACCLESFIELD
HEREFORD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | +16 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | +14 | 23 |
| 4 | King's Lynn Town | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 5 | Chester | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 | South Shields | 11 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 | Hednesford Town | 12 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | Hebburn Town | 12 | −5 | 18 |
| 9 | Spalding United | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | −1 | 17 |
| 12 | Bedford Town | 11 | −1 | 16 |
| 13 | Worksop Town | 12 | −5 | 16 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 15 | Merthyr Town | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 16 | Marine | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 11 | −1 | 15 |
| 18 | Brackley Town | 12 | −8 | 15 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 20 | Radcliffe | 12 | −6 | 12 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 12 | −7 | 12 |
| 22 | Southport | 12 | −10 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 12 | −10 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | −11 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Oxford City
King's Lynn Town
Chester
South Shields
Hednesford Town
Hebburn Town
Spalding United
Chorley
Buxton
Bedford Town
Worksop Town
Scarborough Athletic
Merthyr Town
Marine
Harborough Town
Brackley Town
Morecambe
Radcliffe
AFC Telford United
Southport
Darlington 1883
Spennymoor Town