Hednesford Town v Brackley Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hednesford Town win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hednesford Town was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–25–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hednesford Town v Brackley Town
4. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Hednesford Town 0–1 Brackley Town
5. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Hednesford Town win: 40% at kick-off, 19% now
6. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Brackley Town win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Hednesford Town win 19%)
7. 6′Brackley Town score on 5′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 18–21–60
8. 6′We said Hednesford Town at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–21–60
9. 7′Much as we predicted: Hednesford Town was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 1–1 · 40–26–34
10. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Hednesford Town 1–1 Brackley Town
11. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Hednesford Town win: 40% at kick-off, 40% now
12. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Hednesford Town win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Brackley Town win 34%)
13. 9′Hednesford Town find the net on 8′. 1–1. 1–1 · 39–27–34
14. 18′We published Hednesford Town at 40%. Our model now makes it 67%. 2–1 · 67–20–13
15. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Hednesford Town 2–1 Brackley Town
16. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Hednesford Town win: 40% at kick-off, 67% now
17. 20′A goal for Hednesford Town on 19′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 67–20–13
18. 25′PENALTY MISSED · 25' Hednesford Town
19. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 68–21–11
20. 37′We published Hednesford Town at 40%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–1 · 90–7–2
21. 37′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 90–7–2
22. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Hednesford Town 3–1 Brackley Town
23. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Hednesford Town win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
24. 38′Hednesford Town score on 37′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 91–7–2
25. 45′SECOND HALF Hednesford Town 3–1 Brackley Town
26. 47′HALF-TIME Hednesford Town 3–1 Brackley Town
27. 58′We published Hednesford Town at 40%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
28. 82′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 90–9–1
29. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Hednesford Town 3–2 Brackley Town
30. 83′Brackley Town find the net on 83′. 3–2. 3–2 · 91–8–0
31. 94′Full time, 3–2. We called Hednesford Town at 40% — that one lands. 3–2 · 100–0–0
32. FTFULL TIME Hednesford Town 3–2 Brackley Town
33. FTHednesford Town 3–2 Brackley Town · Hednesford Town win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.