Buxton v Worksop Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Buxton win at 57%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Buxton 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–21–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Buxton v Worksop Town
4. 2′A goal for Worksop Town on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 34–23–43
5. 2′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–23–43
6. 2′⚽ GOAL · 1' Buxton 0–1 Worksop Town
7. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Buxton win: 57% at kick-off, 34% now
8. 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Worksop Town win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Buxton win 34%)
9. 6′M. Bennett scores for Worksop Town on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 33–23–44
10. 7′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–23–44
11. 9′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–2 · 15–17–68
12. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Buxton 0–2 Worksop Town
13. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Buxton win: 57% at kick-off, 15% now
14. 10′Worksop Town score on 10′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 15–17–68
15. 13′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–2 · 14–17–69
16. 31′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–15–76
17. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Buxton win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
18. 45′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–2 · 6–13–82
19. 45′SECOND HALF Buxton 0–2 Worksop Town
20. 47′HALF-TIME Buxton 0–2 Worksop Town
21. 51′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–84
22. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Buxton 1–2 Worksop Town
23. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Buxton win: 57% at kick-off, 12% now
24. 59′Buxton find the net on 58′. 1–2. 1–2 · 12–27–62
25. 63′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–46–18
26. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Buxton 2–2 Worksop Town
27. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Buxton win: 57% at kick-off, 36% now
28. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Worksop Town win 18%)
29. 64′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 35–47–18
30. 64′A goal for Buxton on 64′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 35–47–18
31. 71′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–56–15
32. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Buxton win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
33. 76′We said Buxton at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 23–64–13
34. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Buxton win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
35. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Buxton win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
36. 96′2–2 at the end. Our 57% on Buxton misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
37. FTFULL TIME Buxton 2–2 Worksop Town
38. FTBuxton 2–2 Worksop Town · Buxton win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.