Brackley Town v Radcliffe

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Brackley Town win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Brackley Town was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–21–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Brackley Town v Radcliffe
4. 28′We said Brackley Town at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–26–50
5. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Brackley Town 0–1 Radcliffe
6. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Brackley Town win: 56% at kick-off, 24% now
7. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Radcliffe win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Brackley Town win 50%)
8. 30′Radcliffe find the net on 29′. 0–1. 0–1 · 24–26–51
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 24–26–51
10. 41′We said Brackley Town at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
11. 45′SECOND HALF Brackley Town 0–1 Radcliffe
12. 46′HALF-TIME Brackley Town 0–1 Radcliffe
13. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Brackley Town win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
14. 52′We said Brackley Town at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
15. 63′We said Brackley Town at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–65
16. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Brackley Town win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
17. 74′We said Brackley Town at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
18. 93′Full time, 0–1. We called Brackley Town at 56% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–1 · 0–0–100
19. FTFULL TIME Brackley Town 0–1 Radcliffe
20. FTBrackley Town 0–1 Radcliffe · Brackley Town win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.