York v Accrington ST

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said York win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: York was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF York v Accrington ST
4. 15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Donald Love · Accrington ST
5. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' York win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME York 0–0 Accrington ST
7. 46′We said York at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–39–21
8. 46′SECOND HALF York 0–0 Accrington ST
9. 48′We said York at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–21
10. 52′9 shots for York, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 37–43–20
11. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was York win 40%)
12. 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 41–38–21
13. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Jack Hunt · York
14. 58′We said York at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–19
15. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' York win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
16. 62′We said York at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–1 · 7–24–68
17. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' York 0–1 Accrington ST
18. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' York win: 52% at kick-off, 7% now
19. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Accrington ST win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 51%)
20. 63′Accrington ST ahead on 61′ through Josh Woods. 0–1. 0–1 · 7–24–69
21. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' York · On: Frankie Maguire · Off: Alex Newby
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' York · On: Joseph Rabole Felix · Off: Jeff King
23. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' York · On: Ryan Fallowfield · Off: Jack Hunt
24. 70′We said York at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–74
25. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' York · On: Hiram Boateng · Off: Ollie Banks
26. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' York · On: Arthur Read · Off: Alex Hunt
27. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' York win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
28. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Accrington ST · On: Conor Grant · Off: Charlie Warren
29. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Arthur Read · York
30. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Aidan borland · Accrington ST
31. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Stefan Mols · Accrington ST
32. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Accrington ST · On: Charlie·Brown · Off: Stefan Mols
33. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' York 1–1 Accrington ST
34. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Accrington ST win 95%)
35. 91′Ollie Pearce scores for York on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 4–93–3
36. FTFULL TIME York 1–1 Accrington ST
37. FTYork 1–1 Accrington ST · York win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.