Swindon Town v Crewe

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Swindon Town win at 42%.
2. 0′Much as we predicted: Swindon Town was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–26–32
3. 0′KICK-OFF Swindon Town v Crewe
4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Ollie Clarke · Swindon Town
5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Swindon Town win 34%)
6. 45′HALF-TIME Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
7. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Swindon Town win: 42% at kick-off, 34% now
8. 45′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
9. 46′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
10. 47′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
11. 48′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
12. 49′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
13. 50′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
14. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Swindon Town win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
15. 51′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
16. 52′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
17. 53′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
18. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Swindon Town win: 42% at kick-off, 31% now
19. 54′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
20. 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–39–27
21. 55′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
22. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Swindon Town win: 42% at kick-off, 34% now
23. 56′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
24. 57′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
25. 58′We said Swindon Town at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
26. 58′SECOND HALF Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe
27. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Swindon Town win: 42% at kick-off, 29% now
28. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Crewe · On: Matúš Holíček · Off: Joe White Corrected
29. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Crewe · On: Conor Thomas · Off: Joel Tabiner Corrected
30. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Crewe · On: Calum·Agius · Off: Adrien thibaut Corrected
31. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Swindon Town 0–1 Crewe
32. 59′⚽ GOAL · 60' Swindon Town 0–1 Crewe · Jordan Gibson
33. 61′Jordan Gibson scores for Crewe on 60′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–22–72
34. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Swindon Town win: 42% at kick-off, 6% now
35. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Crewe win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
36. 63′We said Swindon Town at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–1 · 5–21–74
37. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Swindon Town · On: Joe Snowdon · Off: Tom Nichols Corrected
38. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Swindon Town · On: Louis Millard · Off: antwoine hackford Corrected
39. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Swindon Town · On: Matthew Virtue-Thick · Off: Anthony Munda Corrected
40. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Matúš Holíček · Crewe
41. 67′We said Swindon Town at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
42. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Swindon Town · On: Daniel Butterworth · Off: Ollie Clarke Corrected
43. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Swindon Town win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
44. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Crewe · On: Charlie McNeill · Off: Jordan Gibson Corrected
45. FTFULL TIME Swindon Town 0–1 Crewe
46. FTSwindon Town 0–1 Crewe · Swindon Town win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.