Oldham v Accrington ST

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Oldham win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Oldham was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Oldham v Accrington ST
4. 7′🟨 YELLOW · 8' Joseph Anderson · Accrington ST
5. 10′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Lewis Temple · Oldham
6. 13′SUBSTITUTION · 15' Accrington ST · On: Aidan borland · Off: Seamus Conneely Corrected
7. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Oldham win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
8. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Accrington ST · On: Conor Grant · Off: Alex Henderson Corrected
9. 45′SECOND HALF Oldham 0–0 Accrington ST
10. 46′We said Oldham at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–41–22
11. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Oldham win 37%)
12. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 38–40–22
13. 55′We said Oldham at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–47–20
14. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Oldham · On: will sutton · Off: Lewis Temple Corrected
15. 56′7.0 shots for Accrington ST, 1.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 33–48–20
16. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Oldham · On: Kane drummond · Off: Oliver Hammond Corrected
17. 62′We said Oldham at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–18
18. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Oldham win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
19. 65′Accrington ST have had 8.0 attempts to 2.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 27–56–17
20. 69′We said Oldham at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–15
21. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Kane drummond · Oldham
22. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Oldham · On: Mike·Fondop-Talum · Off: Tom Pett Corrected
23. 80′We said Oldham at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
24. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' David Tutonda · Accrington ST
25. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Oldham win: 49% at kick-off, 14% now
26. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Jamie Robson · Oldham
27. 84′We said Oldham at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
28. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Oldham win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
29. 88′We said Oldham at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
30. FTFULL TIME Oldham 0–0 Accrington ST
31. FTOldham 0–0 Accrington ST · Oldham win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.