Crawley Town v Shrewsbury

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Crawley Town win at 42%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Crawley Town 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Crawley Town v Shrewsbury
4. 4′🟨 YELLOW · 3' Luca Hoole · Shrewsbury
5. 5′We said Crawley Town at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–12
6. 5′4′: Ade Adeyemo on the scoresheet for Crawley Town, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–12
7. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Crawley Town 1–0 Shrewsbury
8. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Crawley Town win: 42% at kick-off, 69% now
9. 8′We said Crawley Town at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–12
10. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Crawley Town win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 72–20–9
12. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Jonathan Russell · Crawley Town
13. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Josh Davison · Shrewsbury
14. 45′HALF-TIME Crawley Town 1–0 Shrewsbury
15. 45′SECOND HALF Crawley Town 1–0 Shrewsbury
16. 47′We said Crawley Town at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
17. 62′We said Crawley Town at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–53–21
18. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Crawley Town 1–1 Shrewsbury
19. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Crawley Town win: 42% at kick-off, 26% now
20. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Crawley Town win 79%)
21. 63′Shrewsbury level it on 62′ through Josh Davison. 1–1. 1–1 · 25–54–20
22. 65′We said Crawley Town at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–56–19
23. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Crawley Town win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
24. 72′We said Crawley Town at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
25. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Crawley Town · On: Pemi Aderoju · Off: Nathan Tinsdale
26. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Crawley Town · On: Kellan Gordon · Off: Lewis Richards
27. 78′We said Crawley Town at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
28. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Crawley Town · On: Louie Watson · Off: Kai Jennings
29. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Crawley Town · On: Pele Arganese-McDermott · Off: Priestley Farquharson
30. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Crawley Town win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
31. 82′We said Crawley Town at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
32. 82′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–10–90
33. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Crawley Town 1–2 Shrewsbury
34. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Crawley Town win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
35. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Shrewsbury win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 81%)
36. 83′George Lloyd scores for Shrewsbury on 82′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–9–91
37. 85′We said Crawley Town at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 7–86–6
38. 85′85′: Dylan Morgan on the scoresheet for Crawley Town, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 7–86–6
39. 85′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 7–86–6
40. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Dylan Morgan · Crawley Town
41. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Crawley Town 2–2 Shrewsbury
42. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Crawley Town win: 42% at kick-off, 7% now
43. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Shrewsbury win 93%)
44. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Crawley Town · On: Dion Pereira · Off: Osman kamara
45. 90′2–3 at the end. Our 42% on Crawley Town misses, and the record keeps it. 2–3 · 0–0–100
46. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Crawley Town win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
47. 94′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–1–99
48. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Crawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury
49. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Shrewsbury win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
50. 95′Shrewsbury ahead on 90′ through Josh Davison. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–1–99
51. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' George Lloyd · Shrewsbury
52. FTFULL TIME Crawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury
53. FTCrawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury · Crawley Town win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.