Colchester v Exeter City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Colchester win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Colchester was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 36–32–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Colchester v Exeter City
4. 8′Much as we predicted: Colchester was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 36–34–31
5. 17′Colchester find the net on 13′. 0–0 · 34–36–30
6. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Colchester
7. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Colchester win 33%)
8. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Jack Fitzwater · Exeter City
9. 45′HALF-TIME Colchester 0–0 Exeter City
10. 45′SECOND HALF Colchester 0–0 Exeter City
11. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Colchester win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
12. 52′We said Colchester at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 25–52–23
13. 55′We said Colchester at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–54–22
14. 59′13 shots for Colchester, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 22–57–20
15. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Colchester · On: ronnie harvey · Off: Oscar thorn
16. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Exeter City · On: Ethan Sutherland · Off: George Birch
17. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Exeter City · On: Reece Cole · Off: Anthony Scully
18. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Exeter City · On: Sonny Cox · Off: Taylor Perry
19. 66′We said Colchester at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–64–17
20. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Charlie Cummins · Exeter City
21. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Colchester win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
22. 74′We said Colchester at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–73–13
23. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Colchester · On: Kane Vincent-Young · Off: Robert Donald Hunt
24. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Colchester · On: Kien Connelly · Off: Bradley ihionvein
25. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Beryly Lubala · Colchester
26. 81′We said Colchester at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
27. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Exeter City · On: Vincent Harper · Off: Josh Gordon
28. 83′Colchester have had 16 attempts to 8 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 7–87–6
29. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Colchester win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
30. 88′We said Colchester at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
31. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Colchester · On: Leon Chiwome · Off: Beryly Lubala
32. FTFULL TIME Colchester 0–0 Exeter City
33. FTColchester 0–0 Exeter City · Colchester win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.