Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bristol Rovers win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Bristol Rovers was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–25–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town
4. 19′SUBSTITUTION · 20' Swindon Town · On: Billy Kirkman · Off: S. Inwood
5. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Kofi Balmer · Bristol Rovers
6. 45′HALF-TIME Bristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
7. 45′SECOND HALF Bristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
8. 46′Bristol Rovers have had 12 attempts to 6 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 33–38–29
9. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Bristol Rovers win 35%)
10. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Bristol Rovers win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
11. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 33–37–29
12. 57′We said Bristol Rovers at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–45–26
13. 59′Bristol Rovers have had 16 attempts to 6 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 28–46–25
14. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Bristol Rovers · On: Bobby Kamwa · Off: Fabrizio Cavegn
15. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Bristol Rovers · On: Keenan Gough · Off: Richard Smallwood
16. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Swindon Town · On: antwoine hackford · Off: Joe Snowdon
17. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Swindon Town · On: Joseph Hungbo · Off: Tom Nichols
18. 67′We said Bristol Rovers at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–54–22
19. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Bristol Rovers win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
20. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Bristol Rovers · On: Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny · Off: Bobby Kamwa
21. 74′We said Bristol Rovers at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–64–17
22. 74′Bristol Rovers have had 20 attempts to 7 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 19–64–17
23. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Kaelan Majekodunmi · Swindon Town
24. 80′We said Bristol Rovers at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
25. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Bristol Rovers win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
26. 84′We said Bristol Rovers at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
27. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Swindon Town · On: Joel McGregor · Off: Mitchell Clark
28. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Swindon Town · On: James Debayo · Off: Matthew Virtue-Thick
29. 91′We said Bristol Rovers at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
30. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Dan Butler · Swindon Town
31. FTFULL TIME Bristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
32. FTBristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town · Bristol Rovers win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.