Bristol Rovers v Salford City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Salford City win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Salford City was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–26–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bristol Rovers v Salford City
4. 8′Salford City score on 7′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 16–21–64
5. 8′6′: Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu on the scoresheet for Salford City, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 16–21–64
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Bristol Rovers 0–1 Salford City
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Salford City win: 37% at kick-off, 64% now
8. 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Salford City win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Bristol Rovers win 36%)
9. 9′We published Salford City at 37%. Our model now makes it 64%. 0–1 · 16–21–64
10. 16′We published Salford City at 37%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–1 · 14–21–65
11. 21′Salford City ahead on 21′ through Daniel Udoh. 0–2. 0–2 · 4–10–86
12. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Bristol Rovers 0–2 Salford City
13. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Salford City win: 37% at kick-off, 86% now
14. 22′Salford City ahead on 20′ through Daniel Udoh. 0–2. 0–2 · 4–9–87
15. 22′We published Salford City at 37%. Our model now makes it 87%. 0–2 · 4–9–87
16. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Salford City win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
17. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Elliot Bonds · Salford City
18. 37′We published Salford City at 37%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–2 · 3–8–90
19. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Ciaran Kelly · Bristol Rovers
20. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Kofi Balmer · Bristol Rovers
21. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Shaqai Forde · Bristol Rovers
22. 45′HALF-TIME Bristol Rovers 0–2 Salford City
23. 45′SECOND HALF Bristol Rovers 0–2 Salford City
24. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Ryan Graydon · Salford City
25. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Luke Garbutt · Salford City
26. 54′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–2 · 1–5–93
27. 55′PENALTY MISSED · 54' Ellis Harrison · Bristol Rovers
28. 57′We published Salford City at 37%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–2 · 6–21–73
29. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Bristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City
30. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Salford City win: 37% at kick-off, 73% now
31. 58′Jack Sparkes scores for Bristol Rovers on 57′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–20–74
32. 58′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 6–20–74
33. 60′We published Salford City at 37%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–2 · 5–20–75
34. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Salford City win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
35. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Salford City · On: Matt·Butcher · Off: Elliot Bonds
36. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Salford City · On: Macaulay Langstaff · Off: Daniel Udoh
37. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Salford City · On: Will Aimson · Off: Luke Garbutt
38. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Salford City · On: Jorge Grant · Off: Ryan Graydon
39. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Bristol Rovers · On: Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny · Off: Fabrizio Cavegn
40. 70′We published Salford City at 37%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
41. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Salford City win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
42. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Bristol Rovers · On: Arvin Appiah · Off: Jack Sparkes
43. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Bristol Rovers · On: Joe Quigley · Off: Ellis Harrison
44. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Bristol Rovers · On: Bobby Kamwa · Off: Shaqai Forde
45. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Salford City · On: Nathan Asiimwe · Off: Luke Molyneux
46. 88′We published Salford City at 37%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
47. 90′Full time, 1–2. We called Salford City at 37% — that one lands. 1–2 · 0–0–100
48. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Salford City win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
49. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Keenan Gough · Bristol Rovers
50. FTFULL TIME Bristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City
51. FTBristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City · Salford City win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.