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Model 1.2

Home › Football › League One › Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United

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Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United

Sheffield Wednesday
19:45Upcoming
Cambridge United

League One · TUE 27 OCT · Hillsborough Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sheffield WednesdayDrawCambridge United
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45
Before kick-off · Match result · Sheffield Wednesday 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sheffield Wednesday are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sheffield Wednesday 62%, draw 21%, Cambridge United 17%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sheffield Wednesday win62%
Draw21%
Cambridge United win17%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 9

VenueHillsborough Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sheffield Wednesday

Cambridge United

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · the English League One

Last match: 24 Oct · the English League One

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Cambridge United12+320
8Sheffield Wednesday11+818

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sheffield wednesday winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off
62% The market46%
Us62%
Market46%

We make Sheffield Wednesday a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United1.97 – 0.91
Form · last six in League One this season · since 12 SeptW1 D3 L2 · W2 D3 L1
Table places · points 18 v 208 v 6
The market · Sheffield Wednesday win46% · ours 62%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60%65% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 05:35
Our probability · Sheffield Wednesday win The market, margin stripped

Published at 63%, 62% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sheffield Wednesday win62%46%+16
Draw21%26%−5
Cambridge United win17%29%−12
Over 2.5 goals54%57%−3
Both teams to score50%59%−9
Over 1.5 goals78%77%+1
Over 3.5 goals33%36%−3
Sheffield Wednesday or draw83%71%+12
Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet41%––
Cambridge United clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.2%
0123450 5.9 5.3 2.4 1 11.2 9.9 4.6 2 10.7 9.5 4.3 3 7.1 6.2 2.8 4 3.6 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sheffield Wednesday down, Cambridge United across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.75
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsSHE 5–0 CAM · CAM 0–2 SHE · SHE 6–0 CAM · CAM 1–1 SHE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in League One this season · since 12 Sept

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY

DDDWLL0–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 5–0 · 0–2 · 0–2

CAMBRIDGE UNITED

DDWWDL1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Huddersfield12+1325
2Stockport County12+1223
3Bradford12+522
4Plymouth13+222
5Reading12+1221
6Cambridge United12+320
7Oxford United10+819
8Sheffield Wednesday11+818
9Mansfield Town11+418
10Luton11+217
11Burton Albion13−117
12Stevenage11+415
13Leicester11015
14Wycombe12−415
15Leyton Orient12+214
16AFC Wimbledon12−1113
17Doncaster11−112
18Milton Keynes Dons11−612
19Notts County11−311
20Blackpool11−411
21Peterborough12−1010
22Bromley11−169
23Barnsley11−108
24Wigan11−97

The competition's standings before kick-off.