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Reading v Barnsley
Reading
BarnsleyLeague One · SAT 24 OCT · Madejski Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Reading win at 55%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Reading 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–21–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Reading v Barnsley
- 7′A goal for Barnsley on 7′. 0–0 · 54–22–24
- 12′We said Reading at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–1 · 30–23–47
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 7' Reading 0–1 Barnsley · Vimal Yoganathan
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Reading win: 55% at kick-off, 30% now
- 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Barnsley win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Reading win 53%)
- 13′We said Reading at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–23–47
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Reading win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
- 28′We said Reading at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–25–51
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 24–25–51
- 35′SUBSTITUTION · 34' Reading · On: Randell Williams · Off: P. Lane
- 41′We said Reading at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
- 45′HALF-TIME Reading 0–1 Barnsley
- 45′SECOND HALF Reading 0–1 Barnsley
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Reading win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
- 53′We said Reading at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–59
- 55′Reading level it on 54′ through Kyreece Joshua Lisbie. 1–1. 1–1 · 40–39–21
- 55′We said Reading at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 40–39–21
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Reading 1–1 Barnsley · Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Reading win: 55% at kick-off, 40% now
- 56′We said Reading at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–40–21
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Barnsley win 60%)
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Paudie O’Connor · Reading
- 62′Barnsley have had 9 attempts to 4 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 35–45–19
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Reading win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
- 69′Kyreece Joshua Lisbie scores for Reading on 68′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 83–15–2
- 69′We said Reading at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 2–1 · 83–15–2
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 68' Reading 2–1 Barnsley · Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Reading win: 55% at kick-off, 83% now
- 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Reading win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 53%)
- 73′We said Reading at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Reading win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Barnsley · On: Tyrese Noslin · Off: Vimal Yoganathan
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Barnsley · On: Makenzie Kirk · Off: Tobi Adeyemo
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Reading · On: Jamie Reid · Off: Jacob Brown
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Reading · On: Charlie Savage · Off: Josh Stokes
- 81′We said Reading at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Barnsley · On: A. Richards · Off: Arley Kay
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Barnsley · On: Royce Brownlie · Off: Cameron McGeehan
- 88′We said Reading at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Reading win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Barnsley · On: Jonathan Bland · Off: Ziyad Larkeche
- 90′2–1 at the end. Our 55% on Reading comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Reading · On: Daniel·Kyerewaa · Off: Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
- FTFULL TIME Reading 2–1 Barnsley
- FTReading 2–1 Barnsley · Reading win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Reading are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Reading 55%, draw 21%, Barnsley 24%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Reading win55%
Barnsley win24%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 13
VenueMadejski Stadium
Match timeline
All events
ReadingMIN
BarnsleyEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Reading
4-2-3-1
Barnsley
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Reading
Barnsley
Last match: 21 Oct · the English League One
Last match: 20 Oct · the English League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Reading
4-2-3-1
1 Joel Pereira
2 U. Godwin-Malife
15 P. O'Connor
3 J. Dorsett
5 H. Roberts
10 L. Wing
4 A. Rinomhota
19 Kyreece Lisbie
28 J. Stokes
32 P. Lane
18 J. Brown
Coach · L. Richardson
Substitutes
25 · J. Stevens
9 · J. Reid
8 · C. Savage
14 · R. Williams
6 · L. Fraser
11 · D. Kyerewaa
20 · J. Knight
Barnsley
4-2-3-1
1 C. Slicker
2 A. Kay
4 S. Gale
5 J. Shepherd
3 Z. Larkeche
8 C. McGeehan
48 L. Connell
45 Vimal Yoganathan
22 Patrick Kelly
19 R. Cleary
7 T. Adeyemo
Coach · D. Stendel
Substitutes
30 · Jonathan Bland
32 · Royce Brownlie
11 · T. Noslin
12 · J. Okedina
25 · Rogan Ravenhill
17 · Amani Richards
9 · M. Kirk
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Reading
4-2-3-1
1 Joel Pereira
2 U. Godwin-Malife
15 P. O'Connor
3 J. Dorsett
5 H. Roberts
10 L. Wing
4 A. Rinomhota
19 Kyreece Lisbie
28 J. Stokes
32 P. Lane
18 J. Brown
Coach · L. Richardson
Substitutes
25 · J. Stevens
9 · J. Reid
8 · C. Savage
14 · R. Williams
6 · L. Fraser
11 · D. Kyerewaa
20 · J. Knight
Barnsley
4-2-3-1
1 C. Slicker
2 A. Kay
4 S. Gale
5 J. Shepherd
3 Z. Larkeche
8 C. McGeehan
48 L. Connell
45 Vimal Yoganathan
22 Patrick Kelly
19 R. Cleary
7 T. Adeyemo
Coach · D. Stendel
Substitutes
30 · Jonathan Bland
32 · Royce Brownlie
11 · T. Noslin
12 · J. Okedina
25 · Rogan Ravenhill
17 · Amani Richards
9 · M. Kirk
We make Reading a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 55% | 59% | −4 |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 0 |
| Barnsley win | 24% | 19% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 65% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 62% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 84% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 45% | −2 |
| Reading or draw | 76% | 81% | −5 |
| Reading clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League One this season · since 5 Sept
READING
BARNSLEY
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockport County | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bradford | 11 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 | Cambridge United | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 12 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 | Reading | 11 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wednesday | 10 | +10 | 18 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 9 | +8 | 18 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 10 | Leicester | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 | Luton | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Burton Albion | 12 | −2 | 14 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 11 | −4 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | −11 | 12 |
| 17 | Blackpool | 10 | −1 | 11 |
| 18 | Notts County | 10 | −3 | 10 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 10 | −3 | 9 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 11 | −10 | 9 |
| 22 | Barnsley | 10 | −9 | 8 |
| 23 | Bromley | 10 | −16 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 10 | −8 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.


Stockport County
Huddersfield
Bradford
Cambridge United
Plymouth
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
Stevenage
Leicester
Mansfield Town
Leyton Orient
Luton
Burton Albion
Wycombe
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
Notts County
Doncaster
Milton Keynes Dons
Peterborough
Bromley
Wigan