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Plymouth v Huddersfield
Plymouth
HuddersfieldLeague One · SAT 17 OCT · Home Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Plymouth win at 49%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Plymouth v Huddersfield
- 2′Much as we predicted: Plymouth was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–23–28
- 7′Huddersfield score on 6′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 26–22–52
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Plymouth 0–1 Huddersfield
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Plymouth win: 49% at kick-off, 26% now
- 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Huddersfield win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Plymouth win 26%)
- 8′We said Plymouth at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–23–52
- 12′We said Plymouth at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–23–53
- 30′We said Plymouth at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–56
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Plymouth win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
- 31′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 19–24–57
- 45′We said Plymouth at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
- 45′HALF-TIME Plymouth 0–1 Huddersfield
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Plymouth · On: Matthew Sorinola · Off: Jack Mackenzie
- 49′SECOND HALF Plymouth 0–1 Huddersfield
- 55′We said Plymouth at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–89
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Plymouth 0–2 Huddersfield
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Plymouth win: 49% at kick-off, 2% now
- 57′Huddersfield ahead on 55′ through Bojan Radulovic. 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–90
- 57′We said Plymouth at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–90
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Plymouth · On: Tyreeq Bakinson · Off: Bradley Ibrahim
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Plymouth · On: Xavier Amaechi · Off: Ronan Curtis
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Plymouth · On: Oliver Irow · Off: Will Evans Corrected
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Plymouth · On: Oliver Irow · Off: Aribim Pepple
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Huddersfield · On: Ashley Fletcher · Off: Bojan Radulovic
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Huddersfield · On: Marcus Harness · Off: Joe Taylor
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Plymouth · On: Jared Rendle · Off: Caleb Watts
- FTFULL TIME Plymouth 0–2 Huddersfield
- FTPlymouth 0–2 Huddersfield · Plymouth win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassPlymouth are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Plymouth 49%, draw 23%, Huddersfield 28%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Plymouth win49%
Huddersfield win28%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueHome Park
Match timeline
All events
PlymouthMIN
HuddersfieldEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Plymouth
4-4-2
Huddersfield
3-4-2-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Last match: 10 Oct · the English League One
Last match: 10 Oct · the English League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
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Line-ups
Plymouth
4-4-2
1 M. Cooper
45 W. Harding
15 A. Mitchell
22 A. Hartridge
3 J. MacKenzie
11 R. Curtis
23 B. Ibrahim
7 H. White
17 C. Watts
9 W. Evans
27 A. Pepple
Coach · Tom Cleverley
Substitutes
21 · J. Storer
5 · J. Pleguezuelo
29 · M. Sorinola
19 · T. Bakinson
14 · O. Irow
10 · X. Amaechi
42 · J. Rendle
Huddersfield
3-4-2-1
1 M. Young
5 J. Low
15 I. Bowat
23 S. Roughan
22 I. Bronkhorst
8 A. Collins
20 C. Humphreys
19 B. Mumba
30 D. Sanches Fernandes
9 J. Taylor
25 B. Radulovic
Coach · Liam Manning
Substitutes
31 · J. Alnwick
7 · L. Gooch
14 · E. Brierley
2 · L. Sorensen
11 · A. Fletcher
10 · M. Harness
34 · S. Tovide
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Plymouth
4-4-2
1 M. Cooper
45 W. Harding
15 A. Mitchell
22 A. Hartridge
3 J. MacKenzie
11 R. Curtis
23 B. Ibrahim
7 H. White
17 C. Watts
9 W. Evans
27 A. Pepple
Coach · Tom Cleverley
Substitutes
21 · J. Storer
5 · J. Pleguezuelo
29 · M. Sorinola
19 · T. Bakinson
14 · O. Irow
10 · X. Amaechi
42 · J. Rendle
Huddersfield
3-4-2-1
1 M. Young
5 J. Low
15 I. Bowat
23 S. Roughan
22 I. Bronkhorst
8 A. Collins
20 C. Humphreys
19 B. Mumba
30 D. Sanches Fernandes
9 J. Taylor
25 B. Radulovic
Coach · Liam Manning
Substitutes
31 · J. Alnwick
7 · L. Gooch
14 · E. Brierley
2 · L. Sorensen
11 · A. Fletcher
10 · M. Harness
34 · S. Tovide
We make Plymouth a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 49% | 36% | +13 |
| Draw | 23% | 27% | −4 |
| Huddersfield win | 28% | 37% | −9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 57% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 78% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 37% | +1 |
| Plymouth or draw | 72% | 63% | +9 |
| Plymouth clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Huddersfield clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League One this season · since 1 Sept
PLYMOUTH
HUDDERSFIELD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 9 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Reading | 9 | +11 | 15 |
| 7 | Oxford United | 8 | +7 | 15 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 10 | −2 | 12 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 9 | −2 | 12 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | −3 | 12 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 9 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 | Luton | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 9 | −6 | 10 |
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | −4 | 9 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 9 | −7 | 8 |
| 21 | Bromley | 8 | −11 | 8 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | −6 | 6 |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | −8 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Bradford
Stockport County
Cambridge United
Reading
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
Stevenage
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
Luton
Wycombe
Doncaster
Leicester
Blackpool
Barnsley
Peterborough
Bromley
Notts County
Milton Keynes Dons
Wigan