Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Plymouth win at 63%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Plymouth 63% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–20–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon
4. 14′⚽ GOAL · 16' Plymouth 0–0 AFC Wimbledon
5. 15′AFC Wimbledon find the net on 16′. 0–0. 0–0 · 60–23–17
6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Plymouth 0–1 AFC Wimbledon
7. 17′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–26–41
8. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Plymouth win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
9. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' AFC Wimbledon win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Plymouth win 33%)
10. 18′SUBSTITUTION · 17' AFC Wimbledon · On: Freddie Simmonds · Off: Isaac Ogundere
11. 24′⚽ GOAL · 25' Plymouth 0–1 AFC Wimbledon · Caleb Watts
12. 25′Caleb Watts scores for Plymouth on 25′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 57–26–17
13. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Plymouth 1–1 AFC Wimbledon · Caleb Watts
14. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Plymouth win: 63% at kick-off, 57% now
15. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Plymouth win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was AFC Wimbledon win 17%)
16. 29′SUBSTITUTION · 30' Plymouth · On: Matthew Sorinola · Off: Joe Edwards
17. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Plymouth win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
18. 40′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 51%. 1–1 · 51–32–17
19. 45′SECOND HALF Plymouth 1–1 AFC Wimbledon
20. 47′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 1–1 · 48–35–16
21. 48′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 48–36–16
22. 51′10.0 shots for Plymouth, 5.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 49–34–17
23. 55′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–41–16
24. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Plymouth win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
25. 61′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–46–15
26. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Plymouth win 39%)
27. 62′Plymouth have had 13.0 attempts to 8.0 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 39–47–15
28. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Plymouth · On: Xavier Amaechi · Off: Oliver Irow
29. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Plymouth win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
30. 74′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–62–11
31. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' AFC Wimbledon · On: Marcus Browne · Off: Callum Maycock
32. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' AFC Wimbledon · On: Zack Nelson · Off: Ollie Harrison
33. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Plymouth · On: Tyreeq Bakinson · Off: Caleb Watts
34. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Plymouth · On: Alex·Hartridge · Off: Wes Harding
35. 80′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–73–8
36. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Plymouth win: 63% at kick-off, 19% now
37. 82′Plymouth have had 17.0 attempts to 11.0 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 16–78–7
38. 84′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–1 · 12–83–5
39. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Plymouth win: 63% at kick-off, 12% now
40. 87′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 1–1 · 6–91–3
41. 88′Caleb Watts scores for Plymouth on 25′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 4–94–2
42. 90′We said Plymouth at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 0%. 1–1 · 0–100–0
43. 90′90′ and it is 2–1: Xavier Amaechi on the scoresheet for Plymouth. 2–1 · 100–0–0
44. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Plymouth win: 63% at kick-off, 0% now
45. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 91' AFC Wimbledon · On: Steven Sessegnon · Off: Aron Sasu
46. 95′⚽ GOAL · 95' Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon · Xavier Amaechi
47. FTFULL TIME Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon
48. FTPlymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon · Plymouth win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.