Home › Football › League One › Oxford United v Bradford
Back

Oxford United v Bradford
Oxford United
BradfordLeague One · SAT 24 OCT · Kassam Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Oxford United win at 46%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Oxford United was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–27–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Oxford United v Bradford
- 23′7 shots for Oxford United, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 42–32–26
- 23′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Callumm Connolly · Bradford
- 26′Oxford United have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 41–33–26
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Oxford United win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Oxford United win 38%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Oxford United 0–0 Bradford
- 46′SECOND HALF Oxford United 0–0 Bradford
- 48′We said Oxford United at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–43–22
- 48′🟨 YELLOW · 45+3' George Christopher John Pratt · Bradford
- 53′Oxford United have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 32–47–21
- 55′We expected about 2.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–48–21
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Bradford · On: Nick Powell · Off: Will Swan
- 59′We said Oxford United at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–51–20
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Oxford United · On: Mark Harris · Off: Tyler Goodrham
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Oxford United · On: Aidomo Emakhu · Off: Mo Missanga
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Oxford United win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Oxford United · On: Peter Kioso · Off: Jack Currie
- 67′We said Oxford United at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–17
- 74′We said Oxford United at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Oxford United win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Oxford United · On: Luka Lynch · Off: Gatlin O Donkor
- 79′We said Oxford United at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Bradford · On: Adam Phillips · Off: Kayden Jackson
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Bradford · On: Kieran Morgan · Off: George Lapslie
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Oxford United · On: Louie Sibley · Off: Cameron Brannagan
- 84′We said Oxford United at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–86–6
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Oxford United win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 90′We said Oxford United at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
- 90′Full time, 0–0. We called Oxford United at 46% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Oxford United 0–0 Bradford
- FTOxford United 0–0 Bradford · Oxford United win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Oxford United are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Oxford United 46%, draw 27%, Bradford 27%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Oxford United win46%
Bradford win27%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 13
VenueKassam Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Oxford UnitedMIN
BradfordEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Oxford United
4-2-3-1
Bradford
3-4-2-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Oxford United
Bradford
Last match: 20 Oct · the English League One
Last match: 20 Oct · the English League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Oxford United
4-2-3-1
1 J. Cumming
15 B. Spencer
6 M. Helik
3 C. Brown
26 J. Currie
4 Kai Andrews
8 C. Brannagan
57 M. Missanga
11 T. Goodrham
23 S. Dembélé
19 G. O'Donkor
Coach · A. Ramsey
Substitutes
13 · S. Eastwood
10 · A. Emakhu
9 · M. Harris
30 · P. Kioso
2 · S. Long
20 · L. Lynch
32 · L. Sibley
Bradford
3-4-2-1
21 J. McCracken
28 M. Pennington
15 A. Baldwin
16 George Christopher John Pratt
27 C. O'Keeffe
10 A. Sarcevic
6 C. Connolly
3 I. Touray
32 G. Lapslie
24 W. Swan
19 K. Jackson
Coach · M. Duff
Substitutes
25 · N. Powell
23 · B. Pointon
8 · A. Phillips
22 · Kieran Morgan
5 · M. Gillesphey
1 · C. Dawson
9 · J. Beesley
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Oxford United
4-2-3-1
1 J. Cumming
15 B. Spencer
6 M. Helik
3 C. Brown
26 J. Currie
4 Kai Andrews
8 C. Brannagan
57 M. Missanga
11 T. Goodrham
23 S. Dembélé
19 G. O'Donkor
Coach · A. Ramsey
Substitutes
13 · S. Eastwood
10 · A. Emakhu
9 · M. Harris
30 · P. Kioso
2 · S. Long
20 · L. Lynch
32 · L. Sibley
Bradford
3-4-2-1
21 J. McCracken
28 M. Pennington
15 A. Baldwin
16 George Christopher John Pratt
27 C. O'Keeffe
10 A. Sarcevic
6 C. Connolly
3 I. Touray
32 G. Lapslie
24 W. Swan
19 K. Jackson
Coach · M. Duff
Substitutes
25 · N. Powell
23 · B. Pointon
8 · A. Phillips
22 · Kieran Morgan
5 · M. Gillesphey
1 · C. Dawson
9 · J. Beesley
We make Oxford United a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United win | 46% | 35% | +11 |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| Bradford win | 27% | 36% | −9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 49% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 54% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 72% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 28% | −5 |
| Oxford United or draw | 73% | 64% | +9 |
| Oxford United clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Bradford clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League One this season · since 5 Sept
OXFORD UNITED
BRADFORD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockport County | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bradford | 11 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 | Cambridge United | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 12 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 | Reading | 11 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wednesday | 10 | +10 | 18 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 9 | +8 | 18 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 10 | Leicester | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 | Luton | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Burton Albion | 12 | −2 | 14 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 11 | −4 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | −11 | 12 |
| 17 | Blackpool | 10 | −1 | 11 |
| 18 | Notts County | 10 | −3 | 10 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 10 | −3 | 9 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 11 | −10 | 9 |
| 22 | Barnsley | 10 | −9 | 8 |
| 23 | Bromley | 10 | −16 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 10 | −8 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Stockport County
Huddersfield
Cambridge United
Plymouth
Reading
Sheffield Wednesday
Stevenage
Leicester
Mansfield Town
Leyton Orient
Luton
Burton Albion
Wycombe
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
Notts County
Doncaster
Milton Keynes Dons
Peterborough
Barnsley
Bromley
Wigan