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Huddersfield v Sheffield Wednesday

Huddersfield

2–2Full time

Sheffield Wednesday

League One · SAT 10 OCT · John Smith's Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Huddersfield 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sheffield Wednesday win~~40%

~~The market said~~21%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.840

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.932

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sheffield Wednesday win at 40%.
4′Much as we predicted: Sheffield Wednesday was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 34–26–39
4′KICK-OFF Huddersfield v Sheffield Wednesday
23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Sheffield Wednesday
28′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Archie Collins · Huddersfield
44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Sheffield Wednesday win 33%)
45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' M. Drury · Huddersfield
45′HALF-TIME Huddersfield 0–0 Sheffield Wednesday
47′SECOND HALF Huddersfield 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Huddersfield 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday
49′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sheffield Wednesday · On: Davis Keillor-Dunn · Off: Kieran Morrison
49′⚽ GOAL · 46' Huddersfield 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday · Joe Taylor (assist Archie Collins)
58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Joe Lumley · Sheffield Wednesday
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Huddersfield 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday · Joe Taylor
69′⚽ GOAL · 68' Huddersfield 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday · Derensili Sanches Fernandes
70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Sheffield Wednesday · On: Jaden Heskey · Off: Billy Mitchell
70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Sheffield Wednesday · On: Gabriel·Otegbayo · Off: Di'Shon Bernard Corrected
79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Huddersfield · On: Marcus Harness · Off: Derensili Sanches Fernandes
79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Huddersfield · On: Lynden Gooch · Off: Radinio Balker
85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Huddersfield · On: Sean Roughan · Off: Murray Wallace
86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Huddersfield · On: Ashley Fletcher · Off: Bojan Radulovic
87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sheffield Wednesday · On: Mason Burstow · Off: Callum Slattery
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Huddersfield 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday · Derensili Sanches Fernandes
89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Huddersfield 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday · Ibane Bowat
90′SUBSTITUTION · 97' Sheffield Wednesday · On: Liam Palmer · Off: Liam Cooper Corrected
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Huddersfield 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday · Ibane Bowat
90′⚽ GOAL · 98' Huddersfield 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday · Jamal Lowe
90′SUBSTITUTION · 100' Huddersfield · On: Joseph Low · Off: Joe Taylor Corrected
FTFULL TIME Huddersfield 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday
FTHuddersfield 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday · Sheffield Wednesday win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Huddersfield win35%

Draw25%

Sheffield Wednesday win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Sheffield Wednesday reaction given as Fernando Forestieri joins shock club - 'he's wasted his career'Football League World · 7 hours ago · Sheffield Wednesday

The reason why ex-Huddersfield Town & Stoke City star Ramadan Sobhi is facing jailFootball League World · 8 hours ago · Huddersfield, Stoke City

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

Venue · John Smith's Stadium

Referee · Edward Duckworth

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Huddersfield

3-4-2-1

1 M. Young

12 R. Balker

3 M. Wallace

15 I. Bowat

22 I. Bronkhorst

8 A. Collins

20 C. Humphreys

19 B. Mumba

30 D. Sanches Fernandes

9 J. Taylor

25 B. Radulovic

Coach · Liam Manning

Substitutes

31 · J. Alnwick

5 · J. Low

23 · S. Roughan

7 · L. Gooch

14 · E. Brierley

11 · A. Fletcher

10 · M. Harness

Sheffield Wednesday

4-2-3-1

1 J. Lumley

7 Y. Valery

5 D. Bernard

6 L. Cooper

33 R. James

10 B. Bannan

16 B. Mitchell

20 K. Morrison

8 C. Slattery

24 H. Gray

9 J. Lowe

Coach · Henrik Pedersen

Substitutes

13 · A. Maynard-Brewer

2 · L. Palmer

30 · E. Weaver

22 · G. Otegbayo

50 · D. Keillor-Dunn

18 · J. Heskey

48 · M. Burstow

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Huddersfield

3-4-2-1

1 M. Young

12 R. Balker

3 M. Wallace

15 I. Bowat

22 I. Bronkhorst

8 A. Collins

20 C. Humphreys

19 B. Mumba

30 D. Sanches Fernandes

9 J. Taylor

25 B. Radulovic

Coach · Liam Manning

Substitutes

31 · J. Alnwick

5 · J. Low

23 · S. Roughan

7 · L. Gooch

14 · E. Brierley

11 · A. Fletcher

10 · M. Harness

Sheffield Wednesday

4-2-3-1

1 J. Lumley

7 Y. Valery

5 D. Bernard

6 L. Cooper

33 R. James

10 B. Bannan

16 B. Mitchell

20 K. Morrison

8 C. Slattery

24 H. Gray

9 J. Lowe

Coach · Henrik Pedersen

Substitutes

13 · A. Maynard-Brewer

2 · L. Palmer

30 · E. Weaver

22 · G. Otegbayo

50 · D. Keillor-Dunn

18 · J. Heskey

48 · M. Burstow

Our number · sheffield wednesday winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

40% The market21%

Us40%

~~Market~~21%

We make Sheffield Wednesday a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 21%. We are 19 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · sheffield wednesday win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 22% to 21% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Huddersfield win	35%	56%	−21
Draw	25%	24%	+1
Sheffield Wednesday win	40%	21%	+19
Over 2.5 goals	52%	58%	−6
Both teams to score	55%	58%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	76%	79%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	30%	38%	−8
Huddersfield or draw	60%	79%	−19
Huddersfield clean sheet	25%	–	–
Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.6 9.2 6.5 3.2 1 8.5 11.8 8.3 4.0 2 5.6 7.8 5.5 2.6 3 2.5 3.5 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Huddersfield down, Sheffield Wednesday across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 2,875 League One matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

League One matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.3% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Huddersfield at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Sheffield Wednesday away: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Huddersfield, 1.43 for Sheffield Wednesday. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 10 Oct 14:33. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in League One

HUDDERSFIELD

WWDDLW2–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 3–1

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY

LWWWDD0–1 · 7–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Plymouth	9	+5	16
2	Bradford	8	+3	16
3	Huddersfield	8	+7	15
4	Sheffield Wednesday	7	+7	14
5	Stockport County	8	+7	13
6	Cambridge United	8	+2	13
7	Reading	8	+7	12
8	Burton Albion	9	−1	12
9	AFC Wimbledon	8	−2	12
10	Oxford United	6	+6	11
11	Leyton Orient	8	+2	10
12	Wycombe	8	−3	10
13	Stevenage	7	+3	9
14	Leicester	7	−2	9
15	Blackpool	7	0	8
16	Luton	7	−2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	−3	8
18	Barnsley	7	−5	8
19	Bromley	7	−10	8
20	Notts County	7	−2	7
21	Doncaster	7	−1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	−2	6
23	Peterborough	8	−9	5
24	Wigan	7	−7	4