Cambridge United v Plymouth

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Plymouth win at 44%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Plymouth 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
3. 1′KICK-OFF Cambridge United v Plymouth
4. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Alex Mitchell · Plymouth
5. 16′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Sullay Kaikai · Cambridge United
6. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Tyreeq Bakinson · Plymouth
7. 40′We said Plymouth at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 0–1 · 8–20–72
8. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Cambridge United 0–1 Plymouth
9. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Plymouth win: 44% at kick-off, 72% now
10. 41′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 8–20–72
11. 42′41′: Louis Appere puts it into the Cambridge United net, and it is 0–1. 0–1 · 8–20–73
12. 45′HALF-TIME Cambridge United 0–1 Plymouth
13. 45′SECOND HALF Cambridge United 0–1 Plymouth
14. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Plymouth win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
15. 51′We said Plymouth at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
16. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Cambridge United 0–2 Plymouth
17. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Plymouth win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
18. 52′We said Plymouth at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
19. 52′Plymouth ahead on 50′ through Harvey White. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
20. 55′We said Plymouth at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
21. 57′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 5–19–76
22. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Cambridge United 1–2 Plymouth
23. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Plymouth win: 44% at kick-off, 76% now
24. 59′Sullay Kaikai scores for Cambridge United on 57′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–77
25. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Cambridge United · On: Shayne Lavery · Off: Raees Bangura-Williams
26. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Cambridge United · On: Owen Moxon · Off: George Hoddle
27. 66′We said Plymouth at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
28. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Plymouth · On: Caleb Watts · Off: Xavier Amaechi
29. 74′14 shots for Cambridge United, 7 the other way, and they still trail 1–2. 1–2 · 2–14–84
30. 74′74′: Aribim Pepple on the scoresheet for Plymouth. 1–2 · 2–14–84
31. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Plymouth win: 44% at kick-off, 84% now
32. 75′We said Plymouth at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
33. 76′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–1–99
34. 76′⚽ GOAL · 74' Cambridge United 1–3 Plymouth · Aribim Pepple (penalty)
35. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Plymouth win: 44% at kick-off, 99% now
36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Plymouth · On: Alex·Hartridge · Off: Jack Mackenzie
37. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Cambridge United · On: Callum stead · Off: Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
38. 83′We said Plymouth at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
39. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Plymouth · On: Joe Edwards · Off: Matthew Sorinola
40. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Plymouth · On: Bradley Ibrahim · Off: Tyreeq Bakinson
41. 88′Shayne Lavery scores for Cambridge United on 87′. 1–3 · 0–0–100
42. 88′Shayne Lavery scores for Cambridge United on 86′. 1–3 · 0–0–100
43. 89′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–4–95
44. 89′⚽ GOAL · 86' Cambridge United 2–3 Plymouth · Shayne Lavery (assist Zak·Bradshaw)
45. 90′16 shots for Cambridge United, 8 the other way, and they still trail 2–3. 2–3 · 0–4–96
46. 92′20 shots for Cambridge United, 8 the other way, and they still trail 2–3. 2–3 · 0–3–97
47. FTFULL TIME Cambridge United 2–3 Plymouth
48. FTCambridge United 2–3 Plymouth · Plymouth win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.